Squad Breakdown: Team insights, Round 16

2020 NRL SuperCoach runner-up Tim Williams analyses all the key SuperCoach ins and outs following the release of Round 16 teams.

Squad Breakdown

The rep weekend has come and gone, thankfully without too much carnage on the injury front.

Nathan Cleary is one casualty already, while the availability of Tom Trbojevic and James Tedesco will have major SuperCoach implications.

We have FIVE TRADES this week as the Super Trade Week kicks into gear.

Don’t feel the need to use all five, if you do, you’d want to have saved plenty thus far.

I’ll get a better idea of the week’s trades once we find out which key players are backing up from Origin, but I’ll ideally look to use three maximum.

Embed from Getty Images

After a belting couple of rounds, the Cooma Stallions saw a big drop to 1,344th overall off a score of 1,407 points, oh how the times have changed in SuperCoach land!

Almost all my players delivered in style, however the decision to drop Tommy Turbo for the two weeks between Origin 1 and 3 came back to bite me big time.

I’m praying he gets a rest this week against the Bulldogs where he could punch out another double ton, I might just have to bite the bullet and get him back in earlier than expected despite the fact he will likely miss Manly’s next two games after this week.

Let’s take a look at the Round 16 team news.

Embed from Getty Images

ROOSTERS v STORM

Thursday, 7.50pm, McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Josh Morris 4. Joseph Manu 5. Matt Ikuvalu 6. Lachlan Lam 7. Sam Walker 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9. Sam Verrills 10. Siosiua Taukeiaho 11. Angus Crichton 12. Sitili Tupouniua 13. Isaac Liu

Bench: 14. Adam Keighran 15. Egan Butcher 16. Daniel Suluka-Fifita 17. Fletcher Baker

Reserves: 18. Drew Hutchinson 19. Ben Thomas 20. Freddy Lussick 21. Joseph Suaalii

Analysis: With Round 17 coverage the Roosters become very appealing, however with a tough clash with the Storm this week and a few high breakevens I think next week is the time to pounce.

Although, with five trades at our disposal we may have to go a touch earlier than we’d hope.

Daniel Tupou has been high on my radar and will probably come into my team next week. If there’s an injury to either NSW winger before Game 3 he could receive the call up, although Campbell Graham is also in strong contention.

I see him as a top four CTW for the run home.

He’s $523k with a breakeven of 111, so he should be well under $500k next week which is a bargain.

He’s averaging 60PPG this season with an excellent 31BPG.

After this week, the Roosters face the Bulldogs, Cowboys and Knights which is an excellent run.

I think James Tedesco is a hold for owners even if he does miss out this week.

Should Joseph Suaalii come into the team this week, I wouldn’t play him in my 17. For potential owners, he’s ideally a buy for next week with a breakeven of 42. Especially with Billy Smith having made a successful comeback in NSW Cup last week.

Siosiua Taukeiaho is ridiculously cheap at $399.6k and he played 71 minutes last game.

While he’s below the elite FRFs this season, as a Round 17 coverage player who can act as a back up for the run home when required he’s a decent buy. 

For those looking to replace TPJ, I probably prefer Adding Fonua-Blake at a similar price.

Embed from Getty Images

Storm: 1. Nicho Hynes 2. George Jennings 3. Reimis Smith 4. Justin Olam 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Cam Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Brandon Smith 10. Christian Welch 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Kenny Bromwich 13. Dale Finucane

Bench: 14. Aaron Booth 15. Tui Kamikamica 16. Chris Lewis 17. Aaron Pene

Reserves: 18. Cooper Johns 19. Jordan Grant 20. Dean Ieremia 21. Trent Loiero 22. Marion Seve 23. Tepai Moeroa

Analysis: To hold or sell Nicho Hynes?

He’s $824k with a breakeven of 137 and has a tough match up this week, before missing Round 17.

Ryan Papenhuyzen is due back Round 18-20 sometime, so while Nicho is ideally a hold, we may need his cash to finance our trades over the next two/three rounds.

Once Papy returns, Hynes will likely return to the bench where he will plummet cash and obviously won’t be a play in 17s. I’ll probably sell, but it could reap big rewards to hold if he gets multiple games in after Origin 3 where the Storm face the Knights and Cowboys.

Despite inflated scores due to seven tries in his past seven games, Brandon Smith has proven himself a season-long keeper.

He’s not a must-have by any means, but non-owners can consider strongly after the Storm’s Round 17 bye, ditto Jahrome Hughes and Cam Munster.

Embed from Getty Images

WARRIORS v DRAGONS

Friday, 6pm, Central Coast Stadium, Gosford

Warriors: 1. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Adam Pompey 4. Marcelo Montoya 5. Edward Kosi 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Chad Townsend 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Wade Egan 10. Kane Evans 11. Eliesa Katoa 12. Ben Murdoch-Masila 13. Tohu Harris

Bench: 14. Jazz Tevaga 15. Leeson Ah Mau 16. Bunty Afoa 17. Bayley Sironen

Reserves: 18. Rocco Berry 20. Jack Murchie 21. Taniela Otukolo 22. Sean O’Sullivan

Analysis: Reece Walsh is still unavailable due to injury.

I wasn’t keen anyway as I don’t see him in the top two fullbacks in the run home so I think it’s a waste of trades.

Kodi Nikorima doesn’t have a score under 50 since Round 7 against the Storm.

He’s averaging a strong 69PPG this season and already has three tons.

Aside from two tough games against the Panthers and Rabbitohs in Round 18/19, the Warriors have a friendly draw for the remainder of the season, making Nikorima a very viable POD option for the run home with Round 17 coverage.

Addin Fonua-Blake looks a great replacement for anyone wanting to replace the suspended Tevita Pangai Jnr.

He’s super cheap at just $419k and is a front-runner with a decent ceiling which is what I love about him. That’s well evidenced by his 142 point monster score against the Sharks last season.

He’s had plenty of injuries in recent years which is a concern, but at the price it’s one I’m willing to take.

He’s averaged over 60PPG the past two seasons and can find the try line and the odd try-assist, while his offloading ability is exceptional.

Tohu Harris should be in every team by now, he scored 91 last round with an utterly ridiculous 75 in base!

A seriously tough blow for those who held Josh Curran who will miss the next two games due to covid protocol alongside Euan Aitken as a result of a flight they were on.

Embed from Getty Images

Dragons: 1. Matt Dufty 2. Cody Ramsey 3. Brayden Wiliame 4. Jack Bird 5. Gerard Beale 6. Corey Norman 7. Ben Hunt 8. Blake Lawrie 9. Andrew McCullough 10. Paul Vaughan 11. Josh Kerr 12. Tariq Sims 13. Jack de Belin

Bench: 14. Josh McGuire 15. Billy Burns 16. Daniel Alvaro 17. Tyrell Fuimaono

Reserves: 18. Adam Clune 19. Jackson Ford 20. Kaide Ellis 21. Jordan Pereira

Analysis: No real interest for me at the Dragons who don’t play Round 17.

Ben Hunt bounced back from his 14 point stinker against the Dogs with a mammoth 132 against the Raiders.

Embed from Getty Images

PANTHERS v EELS

Friday, 7.55pm, BlueBet Stadium, Penrith

Panthers: 1. Charlie Staines 2. Brent Naden 3. Stephen Crichton 4. Tyrone May 5. Brian To’o 6. Matt Burton 7. Jarome Luai 8. Moses Leota 9. Api Koroisau 10. James Fisher-Harris 11.Viliame Kikau 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Isaah Yeo 

Bench: 14. Mitch Kenny 15. Scott Sorensen 16. Spencer Leniu 17. Liam Martin

Reserves: 18. Izack Tago 19. Jaeman Salmon 20. Matthew Eisenhuth 21. Taylan May

Analysis: This team list could change significantly come Friday pending those who back up from Origin.

With no Round 17 coverage I’m not overly interested in buying any Panthers as such, however I will reconsider a few once their bye is over.

I’m likely to just hold Matt Burton going forward to save a trade, however I don’t hate the idea of moving him onto someone like Shaun Johnson or Kodi Nikorima for bye coverage.

If you do it, you should be sticking with that player for the season as reserve halfback as I don’t think it’s worth trading Burton and using two trades as a result.

With Cleary now expected to miss at least Round 16 and 17 I find Burton far more appealing as a hold and play.

It’ll be a huge call on whether to hold or sell Cleary at $1.06m with a breakeven of 204!

At this stage he’s in massive doubt for Origin 3, and potentially a few more club rounds after that. Should we receive more news confirming a lengthy stint out, he’s a serious sell candidate, but do your planning because you’ll need him when he returns and trades will be very scarce by that stage.

After Origin, the Panthers have great match ups with the Warriors and Broncos, before facing the Storm and Roosters.

I’ll await more news before making any decisions on the man averaging 115PPG.

Embed from Getty Images

Eels: 1. Clint Gutherson 2. Maika Sivo 3. Tom Opacic 4. Waqa Blake 5. Haze Dunster 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 9. Joey Lussick 10. Junior Paulo 11. Isaiah Papali’i 12. Ryan Matterson 13. Nathan Brown

Bench: 14. Marata Niukore 15. Shaun Lane 16. Oregan Kaufusi 17. Bryce Cartwright

Reserves: 18. Will Penisini 19. Will Smith 20. Sean Russell 21. Jakob Arthur

Analysis: If Tom Trbojevic does face the Dogs this week, I’ll probably trade Clint Gutherson to him despite the fact I expect Turbo to miss the next two games afterwards.

Tommy will destroy the Dogs and I can’t watch it unfold again as a non-owner. Please have a spell Turbo!!!

Gutho has been excellent as a trade in replacement for me with a 3RA of 103PPG since recruiting, but I don’t think he has that 200+ ceiling like Turbo/Teddy/Papy.

Ryan Matterson has hit the skids a bit with just one score over 56 in his past five games, including three scores under 48.

He hasn’t played the full 80 minutes in the past six weeks, and played just 59 and 54 minutes the past two weeks with the Eels blowing out a few score lines.

It’s clear Brad Arthur is happy to manage his load when possible due to his head knocks which makes sense, they need him on deck come the back end of the season.

In a tough game this week he may well play 80 minutes if the score is tight enough.

At $510k with a breakeven of 96 I can see why people would consider selling, but if I owned I’d probably just hold onto him. Worst case scenario you can just play him if short on numbers for any reason as our squad depths should be looking pretty good by the end of this week’s trades.

Despite not playing Round 17, Isaiah Papali’i is a great replacement for anyone selling TPG. He’s elite…

Embed from Getty Images

BULLDOGS v SEA EAGLES

Saturday, 3pm, Bankwest Stadium, Parramatta

Bulldogs: 1. Nick Meaney 2. Corey Allan 3. Will Hopoate 4. Falakiko Manu 5. Tuipulotu Katoa 6. Kyle Flanagan 7. Jake Averillo 8. Jack Hetherington 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Luke Thompson 11. Jackson Topine 12. Matt Doorey 13. Josh Jackson

Bench: 14. Bailey Biondi-Odo 15. Joe Stimson 16. Ava Seumanufagai 17. Chris Patolo

Reserves: 19. Lachlan Lewis 20. Ofahiki Ogden 21. Renouf Atoni 22. Watson Heleta

Analysis: Not much interest at the Dogs for me despite playing Round 17.

I’ve spoken plenty on Luke Thompson regarding his lack of ceiling, minutes concern, etc.

In his past four games, his minutes read: 47 (sin-bin), 51, 61, 46.

His dual FRF-2RF is clutch, while his 66PPG average and 56BPG is rock solid, but I’m just not keen at all. I want to see some attacking upside possessed by the likes of TPJ, AFB, Papali’i etc.

There’s been a bit of chat around Jeremy Marshall-King at hooker who has played 80 minutes the past two weeks for scores of 66 and 75 with 50BPG.

While the recent numbers are good, job security is an issue and I can’t see him getting much attacking opportunity in this outfit.

Particularly so against the Sea Eagles, Roosters and Rabbitohs the next three weeks.

In his 25 career games as a 70+ minute hooker he averages just 54.6PPG with 46.3BPG.

The quicker game with more ball in play should increase this a touch, but I’m still not a fan.

Thanks to Matty Broom on Twitter for doing the digging on the stats.

Embed from Getty Images

Sea Eagles: 1. Tom Trbojevic 2. Jason Saab 3. Brad Parker 4. Morgan Harper 5. Reuben Garrick 6. Kieran Foran 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Taniela Paseka 9. Lachlan Croker 10. Marty Taupau 11. Haumole Olakau’atu 12. Karl Lawton 13. Sean Keppie

Bench: 14. Dylan Walker 15. Ben Trbojevic 16. Kurt De Luis 17. Toafofoa Sipley

Reserves: 18. Moses Suli 19. Cade Cust 20. Tevita Funa 21. Jack Gosiewski

Analysis: Tom Trbojevic is averaging 127PPG which is all we really need to say about him.

He’ll miss Round 17 due to Origin duty, then the Sea Eagles play just two days after Origin 3, so I expect him to miss that game also.

Despite that, I’m still tempted to trade him in this week at the risk of him belting out another double ton which is possible.

He likely be the next million dollar man after this week’s game with the Dogs if he does play.

Jason Saab looks a good play in 17s this week, especially if Turbo plays. 

Along with I.Pap, Rueben Garrick has been the biggest surprise packet of the season, averaging 79PPG including five tons in his past nine games. That average with Tommy on board this season is significantly higher.

FOLLOW OUR TIPS USING EXCLUSIVE TOPSPORT MARKETS! TopSport are home of the only true same-game multi, where the market odds ACTUALLY add up. Use the code ‘SCPLAYBOOK’ when signing up.

He’s very expensive at $728k, and with a breakeven of 11 and a 156 in his rolling average he isn’t getting cheaper anytime soon.

He’s had double digit points in tacklebreaks in seven of his past nine games, has a solid base of 27BPG, and is scoring tries and kicking goals for a relentless attacking outfit.

It’s taken a while, but Marty Taupau is back in SuperCoach form and warrants strong consideration as Round 17 coverage at $538k with a breakeven of 79.

He’s played above 50 minutes in his past five games which is very promising.

While his base has increased with game time, my issue remains with his offloads.

He looked to have started freeing the arm a few weeks back for a patch of games, but he’s managed just one offload in his past three games which is cause for concern.

I’m likely to go AFB at the cheaper price, but I don’t have much of a knock on anyone keen on big Marty.

Still no Josh Schuster!

Embed from Getty Images

RAIDERS v TITANS

Saturday, 5.30pm, GIO Stadium, Canberra

Raiders: 1. Bailey Simonsson 2. Semi Valemei 3. Jarrod Croker 4. Sebastian Kris 5. Jordan Rapana 6. Jack Wighton 7. Sam Williams 8. Josh Papalii 9. Josh Hodgson 10. Dunamis Lui 11. Corey Harawira-Naera 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Ryan Sutton

Bench: 14. Tom Starling 15. Emre Guler 16. Sia Soliola 17. Joe Tapine

Reserves: 18. Matt Timoko 19. Hudson Young 20. Matt Frawley 21. Ryan James

Analysis: Despite Round 17 coverage, there isn’t a heap of interest at the Green Machine.

Potential cheapie Matt Timoko has been dropped in favour of returning skipper Jarrod Croker.

Corey Harawira-Naera is the person of most interest. He’s in terrific form with a 5RA of 73PPG.

His base a fortnight ago was horrible in reduced minutes due to a HIA, but in the four games either side of that he’s been exceptional with 53BPG.

He doesn’t run a lot for a back-rower, but he’s extremely effective when he does.

While you’re now paying close to top dollar for him, he looks a strong buy this week and he has a big ceiling for a forward.

Embed from Getty Images

Titans: 1. AJ Brimson 2. Phillip Sami 3. Brian Kelly 4. Patrick Herbert 5. Corey Thompson 6. Ash Taylor 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Jarrod Wallace 9. Erin Clark 10. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui 11. Kevin Proctor 12. David Fifita 13. Tyrone Peachey

Bench: 14. Beau Fermor 15. Sam Lisone 16. Moeaki Fotuaika 17. Jaimin Jolliffe

Reserves: 18. Sam Stone 19. Sam McIntyre 20. Mitch Rein 21. Jayden Campbell

Analysis: No real interest at the Titans who don’t play Round 17.

In a blow for new owners, Greg Marzhew has been dropped/injured with Corey Thompson returning from a lengthy stint out.

Thompson is one to watch on return from injury as he was firing before going down having averaged 70PPG.

David Fifita is dropping nicely in price to $700k with a breakeven of 132. 

He’ll be ripe for picking at a bargain price in Round 18 where he will become a must-have.

Embed from Getty Images

KNIGHTS v COWBOYS

Saturday, 7.35pm, McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Knights: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Dom Young 3. Kurt Mann 4. Enari Tuala 5. Hymel Hunt 6. Jake Clifford 7. Mitchell Pearce 8. Jacob Saifiti 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Daniel Saifiti 11. Mitchell Barnett 12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon 13. Sauaso Sue

Bench: 14. Connor Watson 15. David Klemmer 16. Josh King 17. Brodie Jones

Reserves: 18. Jack Johns 19. Phoenix Crossland 20. Simi Sasagi 21. Jirah Momoisea

Analysis: The Knights aren’t playing Round 17 so lack any great interest in term of buying.

Kalyn Ponga returns and will be a close watch on return from injury in coming weeks.

Mitch Barnett returned to the edge last game and played 80 minutes for 64 points with a monster 64 in base.

If he keeps this role and minutes he’s a hold for the season. Big if though…

Connor Watson is a sell for anyone who still owns.

With Harry Grant injured, the hooking position has become even more difficult for the time being. 

Plenty still own Jayden Brailey, and as long as he’s still fit and playing 80 minutes I don’t see any reason to sell for the time being.

A trade of him to Grant on return post Origin 3 looks the move.

Embed from Getty Images

Cowboys: 1. Valentine Holmes 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Javid Bowen 4. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Scott Drinkwater 7. Tom Dearden 8. Coen Hess 9. Reece Robson 10. Jordan McLean 11. Shane Wright 12. Mitch Dunn 13. Jason Taumalolo

Bench: 14. Jake Granville 15. Tom Gilbert 16. Lachlan Burr 17. Francis Molo

Reserves: 18. Peter Hola 19. Daejarn Asi 20. Connelly Lemuelu 21. Heilum Luki

Analysis: Jason Taumalolo looked better last game with 54 points in 57 minutes of game time.

He broke three tackles in that game against the Sharks, a slight upgrade having produced none in the fortnight prior.

He’s a long way off what we know and expect from him, so do we buy?

I think you can go either way, the fact he plays Round 17, is a proven gun when firing, and is dirt cheap at $475k all make for enticing reasons to buy.

I think he’s a very solid buy this week, but he’s a long long way from being a must-have.

In fact, he’s scored over 54 just once in seven games this season… He’s not exactly knocking the door down as a buy.

Val Holmes is hot on my Round 18 radar.

Embed from Getty Images

BRONCOS v SHARKS

Sunday, 2pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Broncos: 1. Tesi Niu 2. Jamayne Isaako 3. Herbie Farnworth 4. Kotoni Staggs 5. Corey Oates 6. Tyson Gamble 7. Brodie Croft 8. Matt Lodge 9. Jake Turpin 10. Payne Haas 11. Alex Glenn 12. TC Robati 13. Thomas Flegler

Bench: 14. Cory Paix 15. Kobe Hetherington 16. Keenan Palasia 17. Jesse Arthars

Reserves: 18. Jordan Riki 19. Rhys Kennedy 20. David Mead 21. Anthony Milford

Analysis: Little to no interest here with no Round 17 coverage.

The big talking point of course is whether or not to sell Tevita Pangai Jnr who misses three games due to suspension.

I think it’s pretty simple, he’s a keeper at FRF/2RF for the season for anyone that can cover him.

However, if your line up is too slim in terms of depth you may be forced to trade. I’m probably just going to hold at this stage and hope he becomes somewhat of a POD for the run home with big upside.

However, the case to sell is an obvious one and makes plenty of sense.

Embed from Getty Images

Sharks: 1. Will Kennedy 2. Connor Tracey 3. Will Chambers 4. Jesse Ramien 5. Ronaldo Mulitalo 6. Matt Moylan 7. Shaun Johnson 8. Aiden Tolman 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Aaron Woods 11. Briton Nikora 12. Siosifa Talakai 13. Toby Rudolf

Bench: 14. Braydon Trindall 15. Teig Wilton 16. Jack Williams 17. Braden Hamlin-Uele

Reserves: 18. Billy Magoulias 19. Sione Katoa 20. Andrew Fifita 21. Mawene Hiroti

Analysis: The Sharks play Round 17 and have a nice upcoming draw against the Broncos, Warriors, Raiders and Dogs before a friendly run home afterwards.

Jesse Ramien presents appeal with a season average of 63PPG with a very strong 32BPG.

Take out his injury effected 17 in 27 minutes in Round 9 and these numbers are even better.

With Shaun Johnson back and firing and the nice draw he should score well and looks a great option to play based on opposition for the run home.

At $534k he’s relatively affordable and will strengthen squads significantly. 

Johnson appeals with a 3RA of 70PPG. He’s a proven SuperCoach gun and averaged 68PPG last season.

Ideally I think I’d wait to buy next week in case of injury or even a potential one week rest which we see often with SJ if he ever pulls up tight from games/training.

However, the match up with Brisbane and the five trades at our disposal this week may force the trade early which probably does make sense despite some risk.

The talk of last round, Siosifa Talakai, had a storming opening 20 minutes against the Cowboys.

Unfortunately, he then let in two tries and did his credentials as a starter big harm.

He also looked pretty gassed across two stints, playing just 46 minutes.

He’s been named to start again, but how many minutes does he play?

He’s a bargain price at $337k, but if he’s not playing 60+ minutes he’s priced accurately for good reason.

I also much preferred him playing right edge outside SJ last season where he had plenty of success.

With a breakeven of 57 he’s a buy for next week if he gets bigger minutes this week, but I wouldn’t be going early.

Ronaldo Mulitalo is in form and looms as a sneaky POD for Round 18.

Embed from Getty Images

TIGERS v RABBITOHS

Sunday, 4.05pm, Leichhardt Oval, Sydney

Tigers: 1. Daine Laurie 2. David Nofoaluma 3. James Roberts 4. Adam Doueihi 5. Ken Maumalo 6. Moses Mbye 7. Luke Brooks 8. James Tamou 9. Jacob Liddle 10. Alex Twal 11. Luke Garner 12. Luciano Leilua 13. Alex Seyfarth

Bench: 14. Stefano Utoikamanu 15. Shawn Blore 16. Thomas Mikaele 17. Joe Ofahengaue

Reserves: 18. Michael Chee-Kam 19. Tom Amone 20. Fetalaiga Pauga 21. Jake Simpkin

Analysis: No interest at the Tigers with no Round 17 coverage and job security issues across the entire team.

I’d be selling anyone I owned from the side outside of David Nofoaluma who is a play only based on match up at the moment.

Embed from Getty Images

Rabbitohs: 1. Latrell Mitchell 2. Alex Johnston 3. Dane Gagai 4. Campbell Graham 5. Taane Milne 6. Cody Walker 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Mark Nicholls 9. Damien Cook 10. Hame Sele 11. Keaon Koloamatangi 12. Jai Arrow 13. Cam Murray

Bench: 14. Benji Marshall 15. Liam Knight 16. Thomas Burgess 17. Jacob Host

Reserves: 18. Braidon Burns 19. Jaydn Su’A 20. Blake Taaffe 21. Josh Mansour

Analysis: Playing Round 17, in rampant try-scoring form, with a great draw, the Bunnies remain hot property.

They have upcoming games against the Tigers, Cowboys, Dogs, Warriors and Dragons.

Cody Walker is pretty well a must for me, he finally hit his first ton of the season last round and could easily do the same this week.

He’s averaging a very healthy 72PPG and has only scored under 50 once this season which was against Melbourne.

There’s some risk he gets called up for Origin 3 if Cleary is out, but I’d still be jumping on anyway.

Alex Johnston is also pretty well a must-have for me, and despite his poor 19BPG, he can just be sat outside 17s on tough weeks on the run home.

He has eight tries in his past three games and there’s no reason why that won’t continue.

Dane Gagai has huge back-to-back tons and has a breakeven of -45.

While he won’t play Round 17 due to Origin duty, he remains a great buy this week at $585k. 

His 33BPG is elite among CTWs and he’s on arguably the best attacking edge in the NRL.

Taane Milne is worth a look for anyone needing to free up cash. He’s $230k with a breakeven of 16 and should play Round 17 with Gagai on Origin duty.

However, he does have job security issues and could potentially nuff out which is a tactic I’m not keen on using this season.

Campbell Graham is an option at just $475k coming off a ton against Brisbane, my issue though is that he’s on the Rabbitohs right edge which sees far less attacking ball.

Also, if there’s a backline injury or suspension between now and Origin 3 he will likely earn a call up and miss Round 17.

Cam Murray, Latrell Mitchell and Damien Cook will all become options after Origin 3.

SUPERCOACH TERMINOLOGY KEY

MPG = Minutes per game

PPG = Points per game

PPM= Points per minute

BPG = Base per game (point accrued in tackles + runs + missed tackles)

POD = Point of difference

3RA = Three round average

5RA = Five round average

BREAKEVEN (B/E) = The score a player must record to earn a price rise.

*Please note all our stats are taken from the geniuses at nrlsupercoachstats.com

Leave a Reply