Data analysis: Pain and gain points, Round 6

It’s time for an updated look at the players that cost or made your score in round five (and another edition of “why didn’t I trade him?”).

A look at the rankings sees a slightly larger gap forming between 1,000 and 10,000 (11,524 vs 11,277) and the overall leader well ahead on 11,932 points. Time to get moving!

Check out the round one article for a more detailed explainer on the pain/gain methodology here.

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The gainers:

• Some familiar names at the top as Coniglio (96 points), Brodie (94), Neale (117) and Hewett (111) continued to outscore their price point to the benefit of a significant majority of coaches. If you don’t have these guys you are falling behind.
• Rowell (64) frustrated coaches again and now has a breakeven of 103. He is still well ahead of his price based on earlier scoring. What you do with him is the question of the round.
• About 3.5k coaches traded out Xerri and he showed why we don’t overreact to one poor week with a score of 103. He still has plenty of cash to make and now has dual position status – keep him in your team.
• Heeney (112), Sicily (126) and English (138) rewarded owners and stand as some of the key difference making selections so far in terms of overall ranking. Sicily looks to be the one you could still get at a slight discount with the other two (surely) close to what their peaks will be for the rest of the year (says a non-owner …).

Full Name	Price Current Round	Owned Current Round	Owned Top 5000 %	Points Current Round	Pain Gain Current Round	Pain / Gain Total
Stephen Coniglio	$426,500	77%	100%	96	5,891,648	30,029,224
Will Brodie	$405,800	51%	85%	94	3,974,567	19,571,719
Lachie Neale	$625,600	66%	99%	117	1,768,032	17,247,716
George Hewett	$516,100	61%	96%	111	3,550,314	16,810,107
Matt Rowell	$401,400	57%	91%	64	87,712	12,714,655
Isaac Heeney	$539,700	43%	57%	112	1,902,522	9,250,799
Tristan Xerri	$336,500	32%	65%	103	3,284,964	9,181,590
James Sicily	$505,800	34%	52%	126	2,407,942	6,529,963
Zak Butters	$446,100	44%	83%	130	3,468,601	6,227,770
Tim English	$572,700	27%	34%	138	2,001,249	4,363,012

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The painful:

• Grundy sunk a lot of teams with a score of 53 and is now the highest pain point player of the year. Gawn had a better week (130 points) but is still down on price equivalent scoring season to date. The evidence grows that the Gawn-Grundy set and forget era may be over.
• Our once reliable defenders – Whitfield (73 points), Ridley (82), Rich (84) and the now-inured Hall (71) didn’t score what their owners would have hoped and are likely on the trade block. It’s not too late to move to Sicily or Hewett – but it might be by this time next week.
• Steele (131), Oliver (118) and Miller (107) feature on this list due to earlier poor scoring and being slightly below the extremely high bar they set last year. All can be had at a discount to their starting price but you still might be better off waiting a couple more price changes to get maximum value.

Full Name	Price Current Round	Owned Current Round	Owned Top 5000 %	Points Current Round	Pain Gain Current Round	Pain / Gain Total
Brodie Grundy	$554,200	46%	69%	53	-4,655,175	-6,414,446
Lachie Whitfield	$462,500	29%	34%	73	-891,644	-4,224,581
Jack Steele	$640,500	28%	24%	131	239,151	-3,042,493
Clayton Oliver	$622,000	30%	29%	118	-268,676	-2,662,631
Max Gawn	$639,700	41%	41%	130	611,187	-2,494,686
Touk Miller	$593,700	26%	40%	107	-724,612	-2,429,478
Jordan Ridley	$503,000	18%	19%	82	-488,787	-1,750,694
Daniel Rich	$524,900	9%	3%	84	-330,197	-1,104,083
Aaron Hall	$511,300	8%	11%	71	-463,054	-834,959

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