Steven Nikolovski
2021 AFL SuperCoach runner-up
2021 AFL SuperCoach runner-up Steve Nikolovski assesses all the key players set to make big cash, and those set to plummet in value.
AFLWe are over a quarter of the way through the season and hopefully you’ve starting well and are looking at ways to improve your side.
A good way to do that is targeting people with low breakevens.
Let’s see what the best buys are this week on breakevens alone.
Player | BE | Price | Projected Score | Proj $ Change |
Sam Hayes* | -97 | $123,900 | 85 | +$81.5k |
Malcolm Rosas* | -71 | $130,600 | 47 | +$52.9k |
Braydon Preuss | -46 | $298,400 | 86 | +$59k |
Billy Frampton | -14 | $331,100 | 78 | +$41.1k |
Peter Ladhams | -13 | $461,300 | 104 | +$52.5 |
Connor Rozee | -13 | $398,500 | 74 | +$38.8k |
Ben Ronke | -12 | $271,100 | 56 | +$30.3k |
Marcus Windhager | -11 | $143,700 | 42 | +$23.6k |
Ben Hobbs* | -10 | $153,300 | 50 | +$26.9k |
Finn Callaghan* | -9 | $198,300 | 62 | +$31.8k |
Ryan Gardner | -6 | $277,400 | 65 | +$31.8k |
Hayden McLean | -5 | $353,800 | 69 | +$33k |
Callan Ward | 31 | $496,800 | 102 | +$31.6k |
Callum Mills | 36 | $632,900 | 143 | +$47.8k |
Matt Flynn | 40 | $473,700 | 93 | +$23.8k |
Alex Witherden | 45 | $569,800 | 98 | +$23.8k |
Luke Parker | 53 | $475,300 | 82 | +$13k |
James Sicily | 70 | $532,000 | 104 | +$15.4k |
Clayton Oliver | 73 | $618,900 | 123 | +$22.3k |
Jarrod Witts | 77 | $530,900 | 100 | +$10.2k |
*Indicates player is on the bubble and has had no price movement to date
Embed from Getty ImagesPlayer | BE | Price | Projected Score | Proj $ Change |
Nick Hind | 168 | $430,300 | 73 | -$42.4k |
Marcus Bontempelli | 157 | $597,400 | 105 | -$23.1k |
Ollie Wines | 157 | $531,900 | 104 | -$23.6k |
Jack Macrae | 152 | $684,400 | 138 | -$-6.4k |
Peter Wright | 152 | $407,600 | 92 | -$26.6k |
Tim Taranto | 150 | $525,000 | 104 | -$20.5k |
Todd Goldstein | 150 | $426,100 | 73 | -$34.6k |
Jarman Impey | 149 | $433,700 | 67 | -$36.6k |
Travis Boak | 146 | $607,200 | 115 | -$14.1k |
Jack Ziebell | 146 | $455,500 | 80 | -$29.7k |
Zac Williams | 145 | $494,800 | 92 | -$23.8k |
I’m inclined to hold fire with the likes of Bontempelli, Wines, Taranto, Macrae and Boak.
Boak bounced back like we wanted to see last week and generally a high percentage of premiums have bounced.
Bont’s time forward is a worry if you are an owner, but surely you have other fires to put out first with Grundy, Xerri and Jack Hayes all going down with long term injuries.
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Macrae getting Bevo’d is highly frustrating, but you cannot trade him. Goldstein should take the #1 ruck spot back for the next month and score well again. Taranto is saved by his forward status.
Good luck for round 7!
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