Tim Williams
SC Playbook founder, 2nd NRL 2020, 43rd BBL 21/22'
With time ticking down until Round 2 begins, we have the final say on weather reports, super PODs, skippers and more.
BBLSupercoach Big Bash started with a bang, with three teams on the double game week.
There were substantial flops to highly owned players such as Marcus Stoinis, Rilee Rossouw and Matt Gilkes, while a few of the game’s best stepped up in the form of Matt Short, Dan Sams and Rashid Khan.
There was then of course the phenomenal display across two games from Henry Thornton to amass 260 points, congratulations to our man Maxy Bryden who called Thornton as a super POD from the first podcast of the pre-season.
Despite not owning Thornton or Joe Clarke for his century, the Cooma Stallions started nicely with 1,324 points to sit in 187th position overall.
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Embed from Getty ImagesShout out to a few players who delivered, starting with the veteran Nathan Coulter-Nile (187 points), Fazalhaq Farooqi (184) and Adam Zampa (149) who returned to Supercoach form.
Round 1 for me reiterated the importance of using auto-emergencies effectively, as I was able to bench both Rilee Rossouw and Matt Gilkes, while playing Matt Wade and bringing in Chris Lynn late as a result of the way my team’s results panned out.
This week the attention turns to the Perth Scorchers, who join the Sydney Thunder on the double game week.
Let’s take a look at Supercoach BBL Round 2.
Embed from Getty ImagesAll weather is courtesy of the Bureau of Meteorology as of Saturday, 2PM. All times are in AEDT. Forecasts are subject to change.
Saturday
7:05PM: Scorchers v Sixers, Optus Stadium, Perth
Forecast: Sunny, 31 degrees, 0% chance of rain.
Verdict: All clear
Sunday
7:15PM: Renegades v Thunder, Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Forecast: Sunny, 24 degrees, 0% chance of rain.
Verdict: All clear
Monday
7:15PM: Hurricanes v Scorchers, UOT Stadium, Tasmania
Forecast: Partly cloudy, 19 degrees, 0% chance of rain.
Verdict: All clear
Tuesday
7:15PM: Strikers v Thunder, Adelaide Oval
Forecast: Cloudy, 31 degrees, 20% chance of rain.
Verdict: Likely all clear, monitor updated forecast in coming days.
Embed from Getty ImagesThe Scorchers and Thunder are on the double this week, so they’re going to be hot property.
The Scorchers in particular are well-placed to defend their title with a red-hot outfit, and their schedule is excellent with three double game rounds between round 2 and 12, without a bye in that period.
For that reason, certain guns may be able to be held for the duration, although do be aware their fast-bowling stocks are deep, so they will all earn rests at stages.
As for the Thunder, they have the bye next round, so be cautious not to be short on players next week if you’ve overinvested in their contingent.
The Brisbane Heat and Melbourne Stars are on the bye this round, so you may have to move on a few Stars players to field a full XI.
The Heat have the double next round, so it’s not the worst move at all to go early on one of their players in prep for round 3 if you’re happy with your current squad for this week.
There are no doubles or byes in round 4, so we can use that week to regroup our sides.
In the Final Word, we’ll look at the super POD options, the players at under 5% ownership (or around about) that could send you soaring (or falling) up the overall ranks.
They come with big risk, but the reward is immense if it comes off.
As ownerships of double game week players will likely soar above 10% for most of those options closer to game time once trades are made, I’ll look towards single game week players.
Akeal Hosein – $124,600 – 3.8% ownership
The West Indian started in fine style taking 3/15 off his four overs against the Heat, delivering 116 points in the process.
He looks absolute class, and sits with a breakeven of -32, so there’s a decent chunk of cash incoming.
Importantly, the Renegades play very early in the round in upcoming weeks, playing game two in round 2, then game 1 in round 3, 4 and 5, making him a terrific auto-emergency loop option if he fails.
The Renegades have the double in round 5, so it could be early prep that saves you a lot of coin if he continues to fire.
Embed from Getty ImagesEach week we’ll list the top 10 players with both the highest and lowest breakevens, plus a few additional players worth noting, to help track your cash movement.
The breakeven number is the score required in the upcoming round for a player to make or lose money.
Henry Thornton -56
Nathan Coulter-Nile -52
Beau Webster -34
Matt Kuhnemann -33
Akeal Hosein -32
Adam Zampa -24
Nic Maddinson -16
Izharulhaq Naveed -12
Fazalhaq Farooqi -4
Paddy Dooley -4
Embed from Getty ImagesNote that the substantially high Scorchers and Thunder breakevens are the scores across both games of their double.
Jason Sangha 166
Alex Hales 137
Xavier Bartlett 128
Faf du Plessis 123
Daniel Sams 119
Ben McDermott 117
Rilee Rossouw 111
Ashton Agar 110
Brendan Doggett 110
AJ Tye 107
Matt Gilkes 105
Peter Siddle 103
Jhye Richardson 102
Kane Richardson 100
Rashid Khan 89
Josh Philippe 84
Embed from Getty ImagesThe Scorchers play in game one of the round, and they’re stacked with options for quality vice-captain picks.
Despite concern over fitness and whether or not he’ll play both games, I’m leaning towards Jhye Richardson who is a superstar in the format which translates exceedingly well to Supercoach scoring.
As mentioned earlier, rotation is a risk with the quick bowlers in particular.
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As such, perhaps Ashton Agar is the safest pick with a great all-rounder role, likely batting at seven and he will get his four overs and should almost certainly play both games.
My skipper will come from the Thunder who play in game two, and it’s almost impossible to go against Dan Sams who is batting at six and bowling death.
He arguably has the best role in Supercoach and was even initially listed to bat at five, before coming in at six behind Alex Ross.
I would be tempted by Farooqi after an outstanding opening round, but with Usman Qadir on deck in Sydney, and the fact the Thunder can only play three of their four internationals, there’s just some concern he may only play one game of the double so it seems risky.
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