Final word: Captains, weather forecast, POD watch Rd 7

Six down, three to go…

We’re at the business end of the Supercoach season and things are heating up.

Rain played havoc last round, and is tipped to do so again in round 7.

While frustrating, it’s a big part of Supercoach Big Bash that’s unavoidable, so there’s no use complaining too much.

The Cooma Stallions found some form after a tough week prior, knocking out 819 points to move up into 124^th overall.

It was a rollercoaster of a round even by SC BBL standards, that culminated in a Marcus Stoinis captaincy play.

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He scored just 4 with the bat, and there were serious concerns at Stallions HQ that he wouldn’t bowl with Beau Webster back on deck.

Fortunately, the skipper bowled his four overs and took two wickets in the space of three balls, caught by Glenn Maxwell who I also own.

It was around about 114 points in three balls, rapidly changing the outlook of the round and in turn the overall rank.

It was one of many reminders as to just how quickly SC BBL can change…

While there’s plenty to do, hopefully we can finish strong to make a charge to the top 10 overall.

The top two overall are absolutely flying out in front so winning might be a stretch despite serious optimism, but who knows?!

Let’s take a look at Supercoach BBL Round 7 that starts tonight in Hobart.

Weather Watch

All weather is courtesy of the Bureau of Meteorology as of Friday, 10AM. All times are in AEDT. Forecasts are subject to change.

Note the Sunday fixture is at Marvel Stadium with a roof, so stress less!

Looking ahead

This week, there are no teams on the double game round or on the bye.

Look ahead to round 8 where the Hobart Hurricanes are on the double, so have the Tassie boys at the forefront of your trade plans this week.

The Melbourne Stars have the bye in round 8 which is handy for looping purposes, but do be aware of how many outs you will have next week between Stars players and non-active players in your squad and plan accordingly.

Breakevens

Each week we’ll list the top players with both the highest and lowest breakevens, plus a few additional players worth noting, to help track your cash movement.

The breakeven number is the score required in the upcoming round for a player to make or lose money.

Lowest breakeven (Money-makers)

Max Bryant -60

Dan Christian -30

Sam Konstas -20

Mark Steketee -15

Beau Webster -14

Tim David -14

Will Sutherland -13

Brendan Doggett -11

Matt Gilkes -8

Finn Allen -6

Nikhil Chaudhary -6

Cameron Boyce -5

Tom Andrews -1

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Highest breakeven (Likely price drop)

Dan Lawrence 158

Jamie Overton 157

Ben Dwarshuis 141

Wes Agar 133

Josh Philippe 131

Matt Short 122

Fergus O’Neill 122

Sam Billings 115

Ashton Turner 110

Nathan Ellis 106

Mitch Marsh 102

Cooper Connolly 90

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Super PODs

In the Final Word, we’ll look at the super POD options, the players at under 5% ownership (among the top 1% ranked coaches) that could send you soaring (or falling) up the overall ranks.

They come with big risk, but the reward is immense if it comes off.

Last week, Tom Curran wasn’t passed fit to play.

Aaron Hardie – $97,800 – 4.1% ownership

*CHECK THE WEATHER BEFORHAND!!!

Proven, dual position, cheap, great looping draw…

Aaron Hardie makes a serious case as a late season POD play.

He was one of my first players picked this season prior to sustaining an injury before round 1.

He’s since returned and isn’t bowling, but he was spotted rolling the arm over in the warm up to the Renegades clash so overs may be on the cards.

He’s also just started opening the bat for the Scorchers.

As bat only he’s risky to state the obvious, but the Scorchers play early in two of the final three rounds making him a risk-free loop option.

If he starts bowling he all of a sudden has one of the best roles in Supercoach.

At $97k he’ll cost you minimal.

To emphasise my point above, CHECK THE WEATHER BEFOREHAND!

The forecast for the Scorchers v Sixers game is potentially wet, so first of all you’ll want to make sure there’s cricket to be played and ideally the Scorchers batting first.

If they lose the toss and bowl and there’s rain looming I’d avoid.

Hayden Kerr also catches the eye at 8.1% ownership, but also has the weather to deal with this week.

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Captains

With all teams on the single game week there’s ample captaincy options to pick from.

With the rain threat for game two between the Scorchers and Sixers, it’s probably best trying to find a vice-captain from game one between the Hurricanes and Thunder.

It’s a shame because there’s so many appealing captaincy picks in that Scorchers v Sixers fixture.

To be fair, if it does clear up you can always straight captain someone from that game if the weather holds off.

From the first game it’s a bit of a lottery, the Hobart batting deck is great so you could gamble on a batter, however an allrounder or bowler remains the safer play as always.

Nikhil Chaudhary looms as a decent prospect batting at five and bowling a couple of overs per game, he’s probably the best pick in terms of role along with Chris Jordan.

David Warner is in sublime form and could go ham with those short square boundaries so he may be worth a gamble too.

If I’m picking one, I’d probably take Warner knowing that I had another crack at captain if he fails.

It’d be a different story if it was the captaincy armband being placed.

For captains after that, I’d avoid the Scorchers and Sixers pending a better forecast.

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Jamie Overton looks the major play to me with a career average of 62.4 points at Adelaide Oval.

He has one of the best roles in Supercoach and can deliver again in round 7.

Will Sutherland is the most popular captain by a mile at 27.4% following his 166 last round.

Marvel Stadium appeals for his bowling, and while he’s a good play I’d be looking to go against the crowd and find value elsewhere.

Unless you’re coming first overall and want to consolidate in which case it’s probably the smart move.

Glenn Maxwell and Marcus Stoinis are third and fourth top picks, I’d avoid both.

The Marvel surface is poor for batting.

Maxwell is batting at six and not bowling, while Stoinis’ role with the ball fluctuates.

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Of the two, I prefer Stoin for the likelihood of getting overs.

Beau Webster is probably a better pick then both batting at three and bowling, while Michael Neser is a huge play at Adelaide Oval too.

If I had to pick one of the above mentioned, it’d be Overton followed by Webster.

Webster looks a great buy also, but do note he has the bye next week.

Good luck to everyone in round 7!