NFL Supercoach Week 13 | Buy, Hold, Sell

Things are heating up as we get closer and closer to the end of the Supercoach season.

Week 12 saw some big guns step up in a big way and others falter in crucial matchups.

Gibbs had a season high 99 points this week and is looking like a must have to finish off the season and big Johnathon Taylor, off the back of a bye, only put up 14 points against the Kansas City Chiefs. 

My team scored 521 with big performances from the likes of Gibbs, JSN, and the Sun God Amon Ra, as well as the Packers D coming in with a cheeky 36 points.

Poor performances from the QB room of Allen and, to a lesser extent, Drake Maye hurt my team, so did low scores from Henderson, Taylor, and new addition Andrews.

Not having Chase was also not beneficial for my team, especially seeing as though he would’ve most likely had a day against the Patriots with Chase’s partner in crime, Tee Higgins, leaving the game with a concussion. 

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My team is starting to look almost complete, and there are a few guys I still want and may want to get rid of, and I see this week as being one of the last big crucial weeks with the impending week 14 bye seeing 4 teams and a number of my players taking some bench for the week. 

Thanksgiving is this week, which sees 3 games on Friday morning for us Aussies and another on Saturday, so get your teams sorted early.

Long-time Patriots coach Bill Belichick has always said, “The season doesn’t start til after Thanksgiving”.

If you’ve taken this advice into Supercoach you’re probably stuffed, but there is still some hope if you’ve saved some trades.

Without further ado, here is this week’s BHS’s

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Buy 

Jahmyr Gibbs ($26.02m, Detroit Lions RB, 5 BE, 24% ownership)

This guy is a must-buy this week.

Looks to be a must-have for teams in the run home and during your league finals.

Gibbs is atop the scoring over the last 3 weeks and has averaged a whopping 68.3ppg, which is almost 20 more PPG than the 2nd placed Josh Allen over that stretch.

CMC is the next best RB over that stretch with 46 PPG, and the consensus number 1 SuperCoach player this season, Jonathon Taylor, is even further behind, only averaging 40.7.

Even changing to 5 weeks, Gibbs is the number 1 player over that stretch with Taylor in 2nd.

Gibbs is the focal point of one of the most explosive, high-scoring offenses in the NFL who are currently not in the playoffs and are going to need to lean on Gibbs to get them there, which screams huge points.

With a BE of 5, he’s going to be out of reach after this week, so get him in now.

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De’Von Achane ($21.5m, Miami Dolphins RB, 1 BE, 13% ownership) 

The Dolphins are one of the worst teams in football, and there’s no denying that.

There’s also no denying that Achane is one of the best RB’s in the league and will produce regardless.

Achane is a sneaky under-the-radar pick-up for the run home.

He’s currently the 3rd-ranked RB over the last 3 weeks and 4th overall on the year.

What I like about Achane is the run home.

A week 15 matchup against the Steelers could be tricky, and a week 18 against the Patriots will be tough as well if they don’t rest players, but outside of that, Achane and the Dolphins face the Saints, Jets, Bengals, and the struggling Bucs.

Achane is someone I’m looking at for sure and could take over the likes of Bijan Robinson in my team for the end of the year. 

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Devin Neal ($3.99m, New Orleans Saints RB, -3 Be, 0% ownership)

He’s owned by 64 teams prior to this week and has seen next to no looks this year, but little-known RB Devin Neal is set for more play time with Kamara looking to be sidelined in NOLA.

If you’re looking to downgrade and make cash to upgrade at another position, Neal is a great candidate who will continue to make cash for you.

I don’t think he’s going to be a starting-caliber option, but he will continue to make cash as long as he’s starting.

With all the other options around this price not seeing much game time, Neal appears to be a frontrunner for those looking to downgrade.

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Rashee Rice ($17.14m, Kansas City Chiefs WR, 37 BE, 17% ownership) 

Bounced back from an average performance against a league-best Broncos defence and put up another 40 bomb.

Over the last 5 weeks, he’s the 5th-rated WR based on average PPG, sitting just above George Pickens, who was on this list last week and who also had another huge game on the weekend.

Rice has a favourable matchup against the Cowboys, somewhat improved but still average defence, and arguably the best QB in the game slinging him the ball.

The Chiefs are in the thick of it and need to win.

To do that, expect Rice to be a focal point of this offense.

He’s got one more matchup against the Broncos this year, which worries me slightly, but I did say by the end of the season he’d finish as a top 5 WR by average, which he’s on pace to do. 

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Davante Adams ( $17.02m, LA Rams WR, 36 BE, 5% ownership) 

Adams may be listed as a WR 2 on the depth chart, but he’s producing at and really is a WR 1.

Despite one down week of 13 against the Seahawks, Adams is still scoring at 35.2 PPG over the last 5 weeks, which is the 3rd best of all WRs over that stretch.

I said a few weeks ago that I would be happy to bring him in and run both him and Puka, and I’m even more confident in that now.

Matt Stafford is the frontrunner for MVP, and the Rams look to be the best team in the NFL right now and on track to make another Super Bowl run largely off the back of this high-powered offense.

With a number of favourable matchups to close out the year, Adams could be the difference that your team needs to succeed in the coming weeks.

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Hold

Drake Maye ($21.42m, New England Patriots QB, 50 BE, 6% ownership) 

Hasn’t been scoring huge the last few weeks, but has been winning games.

Averaging 39.8 on the season, Maye has only been averaging 33.3 over the last 3 weeks in games where the running game really took over.

This week, he has a favourable matchup against the Giants, who he should score decently against in prime time.

Goff scored 36 against the Giants in a game that Gibbs took over; however, I don’t see Henderson having the same type of game as Gibbs, meaning Maye is going to flourish in the passing game.

With a bye coming up the week after, it’s time to decide whether or not you remain a Maye holder or if you’ll upgrade to Mahomes/ Allen if you don’t already own either of them.

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TreVeyon Henderson ($15.72m, New England Patriots RB, 5 BE, 42% ownership)

Henderson and the run game struggled a bit against a poor Bengals defence in the game just gone.

After lighting the league up in the absence of Stevenson, there were many questions being raised about who would be the lead back in New England.

Henderson is now the clear-cut RB 1 in New England.

I don’t mind selling him this week, as he’s coming into a bye week after this game, and New England’s O-Line has taken a beating in recent weeks; however, if you want to hold him, he will make cash and could help you upgrade next week to a premium RB for the run home.

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Tet McMillan ($13.4m, Carolina Panthers WR, -8 BE, 50% ownership) 

Another of my favourites to talk about!

Tet has been on my sell and hold list almost every week.

I’m putting him on the hold for one final week, as he’s gone for me next week during his bye week.

With a negative BE, he’s going to make cash this week and could help me upgrade not one but 2 positions next week in a perfect world.

He had a lot of issues with drops this week and could’ve scored more points, but was saved by a TD late in the game.

If you really need to sell him this week, do it, but I suggest holding out for one more week. 

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Sell 

Lamar Jackson ($20.35m, Baltimore Ravens QB, 80 BE, 26% ownership)

Don’t have to say too much here other than abort.

I mentioned last week that Lamar is injured in more places than one, and he managed to put up only 14 points against one of the worst defences in football, the New York Jets.

The Ravens can now lean a bit more on their D and running game, which means Lamar doesn’t have to do as much, but until he can rest a bit or get over these injuries/ play through them better, the best dual threat QB in the game should be sold from your team.

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Emeka Egbuka ($11.92m, Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR, 41 BE, 49% ownership) 

He was on the list a few weeks back and finds himself back again.

With a high BE, an injured QB, and a team that is regressing as the season progresses, it’s easy to see why Egbuka is a sell.

Over the first 5 weeks, Egbuka looked like a lock for the rest of the season after putting up 25 catches for 445 yards and 5 TDs and helping the Bucs to a 5-1 start to the season.

Since week 5, he’s only put up 23 catches for 304 yards and 1 TD.

His SuperCoach production has more than halved, and it’s cost people a lot of money and consequently points over the last few weeks.

Evans, Godwin, and Irving being out doesn’t help the team, and relying on a Rookie WR to carry your offense is always going to be tough. 

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JJ McCarthy ($10.81m, Minnesota Vikings QB, 37 BE, 33 % ownership)

OHHHH brother, this guy stinks!

Last week, we said an 11 BE for a QB is almost impossible to not get, and thus JJ would still make cash.

Boy, were we as a podcast wrong.

Hindsight is a beautiful thing, and every expert, whether it be TV or armchair, is starting to point out that maybe a National Championship-winning QB who handed the ball off the majority of the time and relied on his run game and stout defence may not be the best at throwing the ball.

When you have a top 10 TE, decent running game, and a WR duo that consists of the arguably number 1 guy at his position and another guy who could be a WR 1 at most teams, and you still can’t move the ball, then maybe you just stink.

McCarthy was someone I was hoping to start for 1 week during he bye, and now I’m questioning everything.

This guy truly stinks

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Justin Jefferson ($11.43m, Minnesota Vikings WR, 30 BE, 37% ownership)

He’s here again, and I don’t have to say too much, but if you’re an owner of the 16th-ranked receiver in SuperCoach this year, then you need to abandon ship.

Averaging only 13.7 points over the last 3 weeks and 17.8 over the last 5, Jefferson is struggling massively thanks to McCarthy.

I’d rather have someone like Wandale Robinson, who’s 170k cheaper and ranked as the 11th best receiver this year.

I’ve said before that it may be too late to get rid of him, but I don’t think it is.

I’d be looking at Robinson or even someone like Jakobi Meyers or Khalil Shakir to come in and do a better job than Jefferson.

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Trades and Captains

Last week, I finally made the trade to bring in JT, which didn’t go to plan, but I was prepared for that.

Andrews was average as well, but was a necessary buy to acquire JT.

This week I’m looking to upgrade my WR position and have been tossing up between Pickens, Rice, and Adams, and have also thought about my RB room and what I’m happy with there.

Trades this week are…

TRADE IN: Rice and B Smith

TRADE OUT: Boutte and Henderson

I’m happy with my RB room and now have 4 of the top 5 RBs on the season.

Smith is going to sit on my bench and contribute nothing for the remainder of the year, and Williams will continue to sit and may be used as a flex option depending on matchups for the rest of the year.

I will say there’s every chance I swap to trading out Williams and keeping Henderson for higher upside flex as the year goes on, but that will depend on whether or not the Pats O-Line is going to get healthy again quickly or not. 

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Boutte has been injured since I brought him in, and I prefer getting rid of him now rather than Tet as I’ll make more cash and Tet has more upside.

It was tough deciding between Rice, Pickens, and Adams, but I decided to go with Rice as I see him being a big part of the Chiefs’ scoring plans.

Bringing in Rice now gives me 5 of the best WRs in this league, and I can’t wait to see how they produce. 

These moves also leave me with $9.16 million in the bank and 3 trades for the rest of the season.

I’ve taken a few learnings from this season as I’m not happy with the amount of trades I have left, and if I had my time again, I’d probably be sitting with 1 boost and at least 8 trades, but I digress. 

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Captain this week is Maye, as he’s playing the Tuesday game, and I’ve got the VC on Taylor as I expect him to bounce back in a big way.

I tossed up Allen, but he’s not playing at home, so I’ll avoid that one. 

Best of luck this week, and we’ll catch you on the next one.