Harry West
Data analyst, fantasy sport expert
Quantium data analyst Harry West takes a look at the best teams to target with your upcoming trades and captaincy
AFLI should have held Xerri. He scored 199 last week and I had Darcy Cameron on the bye. No wonder my rank starts with a 6, and it isn’t in the 6000s. The frustrating part? We knew the matchup analysis coming into the season. North had Port Adelaide and West Coast in their opening two rounds, two of the easiest teams to score against in 2025. I just didn’t back it hard enough.
That mistake is what this article is about. SuperCoach points scored by team is one of the most underused tools in SuperCoach, and three rounds in, the data is already telling a story.

Because AFL SuperCoach scales every match to 3300 combined points, a team’s average SuperCoach points scored tells you everything. High scoring team means their players generate SuperCoach points AND they restrict opponents. Low scoring team means avoid their players AND target them with your premiums.
One number. Two insights. Here’s where every team sits through Round 3.
| Team | SC Points 2026 | SC Points 2025 | Diff |
| GC | 1811.7 | 1685.8 | +125.9 |
| NM | 1795.5 | 1605.8 | +189.7 |
| Haw | 1754.0 | 1716.8 | +37.2 |
| Adel | 1700.0 | 1718.0 | -18.0 |
| Frem | 1689.0 | 1647.8 | +41.2 |
| WB | 1687.3 | 1708.2 | -20.9 |
| GWS | 1670.7 | 1712.5 | -41.8 |
| Syd | 1658.3 | 1653.3 | +5.0 |
| Coll | 1649.5 | 1684.7 | -35.2 |
| Port | 1648.5 | 1604.4 | +44.1 |
| Carl | 1639.5 | 1652.9 | -13.4 |
| Geel | 1634.5 | 1714.4 | -79.9 |
| St K | 1630.0 | 1624.2 | +5.8 |
| WC | 1584.0 | 1474.1 | +109.9 |
| Bris | 1577.0 | 1731.1 | -154.1 |
| Rich | 1512.0 | 1504.8 | +7.2 |
| Melb | 1501.0 | 1646.6 | -145.6 |
| Ess | 1408.0 | 1568.8 | -160.8 |
Gold Coast, Hawthorn, Adelaide, Western Bulldogs and GWS sit at the top in both 2025 and 2026. This isn’t a hot start, it’s a consistent pattern across two seasons. When their players have favourable matchups against the bottom teams, that’s where you look for C/VC options.
One caveat worth flagging: high team scoring doesn’t automatically make every player from that club a C/VC candidate. Market share matters. A player commanding a high percentage of their team’s SuperCoach points is more valuable than one who doesn’t. That’s a deeper dive for another article, but keep it in mind when you’re using this data.
Geelong were a top-end team in 2025 but have dropped early in 2026. Brisbane were elite last year and are sitting mid-table. Both are wait-and-see. Small sample, don’t panic sell, but don’t load up either.
Embed from Getty ImagesNorth Melbourne sit second in the ladder and Gold Coast first. Before you rush to load up on their players, check the fixtures.
North have played Port Adelaide and West Coast, two of the easiest teams to score against in 2025. The Xerri situation is the perfect example. His 199 was elite, but it came in the exact matchups you’d draw up on a whiteboard. Buyer beware on North moving forward until they face tougher opposition.
Gold Coast is a slightly different story. They beat Geelong, normally one of the harder teams to score against, convincingly. That result gives their numbers more credibility. Still only three games in, but GC look like the real deal.
Embed from Getty ImagesRichmond and West Coast are consistently low scorers across both seasons. Nothing new there. Avoid their players, target them with your premiums when the fixture lines up.
Essendon feels like the real signal. They scored 1423 against Hawthorn and 1393 against Port Adelaide, battered in both games. What makes this interesting is who cashed in against them. Joe Richards, Jordon Sweet, Jack Lukosius, Aliir Aliir all cracked 100 for Port. These aren’t your typical premium scorers. The SuperCoach points are spreading wide when teams play Ess, which means your entire squad benefits, not just your forward line.
Melbourne is worth watching. They scored 1548 in a win over St Kilda but dropped to 1454 in a loss to Fremantle. Losing experience in their midfield is going to have an impact on overall SuperCoach points generation, and the likes of Rivers and Windsor haven’t picked up the slack yet. Gawn is the obvious exception, but I’m avoiding their other players until I see more.
Embed from Getty ImagesThis is where the analysis becomes actionable. Use this table to identify when your premiums are playing the bottom four teams. That’s your C/VC window and your price rise alert. I’ve ordered it by teams with the easiest fixtures soonest.
| Team | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | Total |
| Port Adelaide | WC | Rich | 2 | ||||
| NM | Ess | Rich | 2 | ||||
| Fremantle | Rich | WC | 2 | ||||
| Gold Coast | Melb | Ess | 2 | ||||
| Sydney Swans | WC | Melb | 2 | ||||
| Melbourne | Ess | Rich | 2 | ||||
| Brisbane | Melb | Ess | 2 | ||||
| Richmond | Melb | WC | 2 | ||||
| Carlton | Melb | 1 | |||||
| Western Bulldogs | Ess | 1 | |||||
| Geelong | WC | 1 | |||||
| GWS | Rich | 1 | |||||
| Essendon | Melb | 1 | |||||
| Collingwood | Ess | 1 | |||||
| St Kilda | WC | 1 | |||||
| West Coast | Rich | 1 |
Rozee and Petracca and both are injured, so trades are coming. My DPP flexibility means I can bring in whoever I want without the structural headache many coaches are dealing with, I really don’t envy those having to buy a forward premium this week!
Watkins is coming in if he makes the final squad. He looked good when Rozee went down, and with West Coast and Richmond in his next four weeks, the money-making window is wide open.
I was originally set on two Collingwood buys, Nick Daicos and either Houston or Josh Daicos. This analysis has me second-guessing that. Collingwood don’t face a bottom four team until Round 7. There are better options available sooner.
Luke Jackson is seriously tempting. Richmond have no recognisable ruck and West Coast are next, meaning two massive scoring opportunities in the next four weeks. The only hesitation is it leaves me with four rucks. That’s a problem worth having if he goes 130 twice.
Zorko is the wildcard. Brisbane’s run is outstanding and he’s shown he can still pop off, but at 37 with the injury carnage we’ve already seen this season, it’s a risk. Given where my rank sits, it might be exactly the kind of risk I need to take.
Back the matchups. The data doesn’t lie.
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