Final word: Captains, weather forecast, POD watch Rd 6

We’ve arrived at Supercoach BBL round 6, with the Sydney Thunder rising to relevance with the double game week.

Rain threatens their second game of the double though, so do you tinker with the idea of not going too hard at their players for the double?

It could prove a pivotal move in the season, but also one that could be highly detrimental if the match goes ahead as scheduled.

Monitor weather updates for the Wednesday fixture in Sydney leading into the beginning of the round.

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The Cooma Stallions are trucking along nicely in 140^th overall, unfortunately I haven’t had a great round 5 so I’m expecting a drop barring a big night tonight.

I went early on Dan Sams who was involved in a nasty collision that’ll see him miss two games.

Kane Richardson didn’t play for me, so I was a man down. Ouch…

Adam Zampa and new recruit Wes Agar combined for 8 points, so it’s not looking good for the ranking at this stage, red arrows may be on the horizon.

Let’s take a look at Supercoach BBL Round 6 that starts on Monday in Brisbane.

Weather Watch

All weather is courtesy of the Bureau of Meteorology as of Sunday, 5PM. Forecasts are subject to change.

Looking ahead

The remaining teams on the double are the Sydney Thunder in round 6 and the Hobart Hurricanes in round 8, so look to hold any of their players if you currently own.

Thunder players will of course be the priority, but targeting any Hurricanes with low breakevens is another genuine option.

The Adelaide Strikers are on the bye this week, so look to sell their players.

Jamie Overton is expected to leave after they play in round 7, so he could be an early cull, although if you can hold for one more game it seems the play.

This should benefit the highly owned Liam Scott who should take that allrounder role for the final two games.

Breakevens – To come

Each week we’ll list the top players with both the highest and lowest breakevens, plus a few additional players worth noting, to help track your cash movement.

The breakeven number is the score required in the upcoming round for a player to make or lose money.

Lowest breakeven (Money-makers)

Finn Allen, -74

Joel Paris, -17

Marcus Stoinis, -15

Tim David, -14

Max Bryant, -13

Lance Morris, -11

Brendan Doggett (bye), -10

Jacob Bethell, -9

Todd Murphy, -9

Nikhil Chaudary, -5

Cameron Boyce, (bye), -4

Gurinder Sandhu, -2

Highest breakeven (Likely price drop)

Wes Agar, 168

Sam Billings, 162

Jamie Overton (bye), 160

Lockie Ferguson, 137

Tim Seifert, 133

Akeal Hossein, 132

Will Sutherland, 131

Matt Short (bye), 124

Fergus O’Neill, 122

Aaron Hardie, 114

Ben Duckett, 112

Nathan Ellis, 107

Jack Edwards, 104

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Super PODs

In the Final Word, we’ll look at the super POD options, the players at under 5% ownership (among the top 10% ranked coaches) that could send you soaring (or falling) up the overall ranks.

They come with big risk, but the reward is immense if it comes off.

Last week Maxy Bryden wrote the article, but the week prior Ben McDermott scored fairly well with 44 points to see a big price rise as they lead into their double.

Maxy nailed Lance Morris at 2.2% ownership, belting out 98 points! Well played Sir.

Tom Curran $140,700 – 3.7% ownership

Curran quickly became the forgotten man due to his recent injury that saw him miss a few clashes.

He’s expected back next round, albeit not confirmed at this point.

He’s world-class and comes back into a team that has won two on the trot after an awful start to the season.

Impacted by their poor start, Curran averaged just 43 points to begin the tournament which has seen him drop $11k so far.

The returning Beau Webster may drop him down another spot depending on his replacement, but he can still do plenty of damage bowling death and still potentially getting a few hits with the willow.

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Captains

With the Sydney Thunder playing game one you’ll need to vice-captain one of their contingent, with the likelihood of using them as your skipper with the loophole.

However, the rain around presents an opportunity to be somewhat shrewd.

If your captain does go poorly, or scores okay but their second game looks in trouble with rain, be prepared to captain someone in the final game between the Stars and Sixers.

From the Thunder it’s pretty wide open with no clear standouts, especially with Sams unavailable.

While there’s a few in-form batters, I’m always looking to stick with a bowler so Wes Agar and Chris Green look the standouts to me.

Agar has the role bowling death with the ability to take hauls of wickets as we’ve seen recently, even though he is coming off a 4 point game.

Green’s role is slightly better batting at number seven.

I’m leaning towards Agar, but both are decent options with risk attached.

The in-form David Warner is the high-risk, high-reward play, but not for me.

If your VC fails badly, or rain hits their second game, attention turns to the final game of the round in the Stars and Sixers.

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Jack Edwards is probably the best play regardless of whether he bats at three or six, the role is still decent.

The Stars chop and change their roles weekly, and Beau Webster’s likely return will make it even harder to predict.

Marcus Stoinis is one who has been impacted in his role with the ball when Webster is available, so he becomes less appealing.

Glenn Maxwell has been batting 6 and not bowling so he’s a no-go until something changes.

Tom Curran is a genuine play if anyone is jumping on board.