NRL Round 23 team lists: Full squads + NRL Supercoach analysis

Supercoach, you can be a cruel, wonderful beast at times…

The last round of the regular Supercoach prior to head-to-head finals threw up just about everything.

The magical 2,000-point barrier was hit for the first time in Supercoach history, with Sam Walker notching the equal fifth-highest score of all-time in the Roosters’ 82-point destruction of the Cowboys.

With joy came misery, with another host of popular Supercoach assets entering the casualty ward.

Unfortunately, the Cooma Stallions were on the wrong end of the stick, notching an in-theory huge 1,513 points for the week.

Incredibly, that score resulted in our worst round of the season comparatively to the rest of the competition.

We were sizzling heading into the third-last game of the round, then disaster struck.

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Xavier Willison lasted all of 5 minutes before succumbing to injury against the Knights.

Moving into Sunday and KL Iro played just 28 minutes before injury also hit the Sharks centre.

Having vice-captaincy looped Herbie Farnworth’s 122 points, I was forced to rely on a bench player to come in as my auto-emergency.

Fletcher Sharpe (116), Greg Marzhew (107) and Zac Hosking (75) were regrettable sits outside my starting team; unfortunately, Brandon Smith recovered from a double calf injury last week to take his place for 17 points (my auto-emergency that counted).

Add in James Tedesco going off at half-time in the Roosters’ record-breaking win, and it made for a tough week; thankfully Teddy lit up in the first 40.

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Toby Couchman was another casualty with an early head knock for the Dragons ending his night; I didn’t cop this one though.

Anyway, that’s the game we love. When you’re on, you’re on; when you’re off, you’re well and truly off.

It led to a freefall down the rankings by 2,000 spots into 8.5k overall, which is tough to stomach so late in the season, so we’ll need a huge finish in the final five rounds to get back up to the pointy end of the rankings.

We move on to head-to-head finals week one, where things get serious!

Let’s take a look at the NRL Supercoach analysis of the Round 23 teams, with squad lists courtesy of Fox Sports.

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TITANS v COWBOYS

Thursday, 7:50pm, Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Titans: 1. Keano Kini 2. Dean Ieremia 3. Jojo Fifita 4. AJ Brimson 5. Phillip Sami 6. Jayden Campbell 7. Lachlan Ilias 8. Moeaki Fotuaika 9. Oliver Pascoe 10. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui 11. Arama Hau 12. Beau Fermor 13. Chris Randall

Bench: 14. Kurtis Morrin 15. Josh Patston 16. Klese Haas 17. Cooper Bai 18. Sam Verrills 19. Adam Christensen

Reserves: 20. Jaylan De Groot 21. Sialetili Faeamani 22. Jett Liu

Analysis: The Titans disappointed against the Warriors with a comprehensive loss to a classier side, but there’s no major reason to lose faith with four of their final five at home to finish the season.

Popular trade-in last week, Oliver Pascoe, underwhelmed with just 42 points; the good news is he still played the full 80 minutes.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see minutes reduce a touch with nothing to play for at this stage.

Ditto Tino Fa’asuamaleaui, who scored just 58 in an okay 58 minutes.

The only player I’d look to invest in at this stage is Jayden Campbell, who remains a good buy at $722k.

The ability to run Nicho Hynes, Nathan Cleary and JC allows the option to VC and C the first two star halves, which is rare for most teams.

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Cowboys: 1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Braidon Burns 3. Zac Laybutt 4. Tomas Chester 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Jake Clifford 7. Jaxon Purdue 8. Griffin Neame 9. Soni Luke 10. Jason Taumalolo 11. Heilum Luki 12. Kai O’Donnell 13. Reuben Cotter

Bench: 14. Ethan King 15. Thomas Mikaele 16. Matthew Lodge 17. Coen Hess 18. Sam McIntyre 19. Kaiden Lahrs

Reserves: 20. John Bateman 21. Liam Sutton 22. Ronald Philitoga

Analysis: The Cowboys were handed a beat down of monumental proportions against the Roosters last week; fortunately the draw now turns in their favour.

Games incoming against the Titans, Eels, bye, Tigers and Raiders is an outstanding way to end the season.

They’re still a decent footy team with plenty of point-scoring potential; I’m at a loss as to what unfolded last week.

They’ll make amends in coming weeks with bounce-back performances, which should see the Supercoach contingent improve.

Braidon Burns is beginning to bottom out at $661k with a breakeven of 95.

I’ve written in-depth about him of late, but I still like him as a pick-up.

I can’t imagine anyone needing a fullback this week unless they’re fed up with Reece Walsh, but Scott Drinkwater is extremely cheap at $561k despite a season average of 70.8 points per game.

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WARRIORS v PANTHERS

Friday, 6pm, Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Warriors: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Ali Leiataua 4. Leka Halasima 5. Alofiana Khan-Pereira 6. Chanel Harris-Tavita 7. Te Maire Martin 8. James Fisher-Harris 9. Wayde Egan 10. Mitchell Barnett 11. Kurt Capewell 12. Jacob Laban 13. Erin Clark

Bench: 14. Samuel Healey 15. Tanner Stowers-Smith 16. Morgan Gannon 17. Eddie Ieremia-Toeava 18. Luke Metcalf 20. Taine Tuaupiki

Reserves: 21. Riley Price 22. Makaia Tafua 23. Adam Pompey

Analysis: This is a game I’d look to avoid playing too many options from either team in my starting side.

It should act as an early finals preview that proves a little tougher to produce Supercoach scoring opportunities.

After two sub-50 scores, Te Maire Martin repaid the faith of owners in style with 130 points against the Titans.

Aside from perhaps Lofi Khan-Periera for those brave coaches out there, TMM looks the only relevant player to me at the Warriors for the time being.

See how they perform in this tough encounter then reassess next week.

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Panthers: 1. Jaxen Edgar 2. Thomas Jenkins 3. Paul Alamoti 4. Izack Tago 5. Brian To’o 6. Jack Cogger 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Freddy Lussick 10. Lindsay Smith 11. Isaiah Papali’i 12. Liam Martin 13. Isaah Yeo

Bench: 14. Billy Scott 15. Scott Sorensen 16. Liam Henry 17. Billy Phillips 18. Jack Cole 19. Blaize Talagi

Reserves: 20. Jesse McLean 21. Luron Patea 22. Kalani Leuluai-going

Analysis: While on their day there’s not particularly a side that will worry the Panthers, the Warriors at home is about as hard a road trip as they’ll face.

Nathan Cleary is indeed match-up proof, but that isn’t to say there aren’t far harder games than others.

While he exploded with a season-high 147 points against the Raiders in Mudgee, I think there are better captaincy options than him this week.

Casey McLean is out with injury and is replaced by Izack Tago at centre.

Tago does at times have a severe case of glue hands, which I don’t love for Tom Jenkins.

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ROOSTERS v BULLDOGS

Friday, 8pm, Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Billy Smith 3. Hugo Savala 4. Robert Toia 5. Mark Nawaqanitawase 6. Daly Cherry-Evans 7. Sam Walker 8. Naufahu Whyte 9. Reece Robson 10. Spencer Leniu 11. Salesi Foketi 12. Siua Wong 13. Victor Radley

Bench: 14. Connor Watson 15. Lindsay Collins 16. Nat Butcher 17. Egan Butcher 18. Cody Ramsey 19. Tommy Talau

Reserves: 20. Rex Bassingthwaighte 21. Benaiah Ioelu 22. Delasalle Vaa

Analysis: How many Roosters is too many? 

That’s the question after they amassed 82 points against the Cowboys.

I mean trades are at a minimum, so probably not many…

James Tedesco has been named after missing the second half against the Cowboys due to a precautionary injury.

At $681k with back-to-back tonnes, including the latter in 40 minutes, he suddenly looms as a near must in this Roosters outfit.

There is one concern for both he and Sam Walker, who is now priced at $754k following his double tonne, that’s the opposition.

With six wins in their last seven games, the Dogs are back in business after a poor opening to the year.

They conceded four tries to Melbourne, but several came off the back of kicks or bad luck.

They conceded just four linebreaks in the game, which is decent.

Prior to that, they conceded just one try against the Warriors and kept the Tigers to 0.

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The Raiders put them to bed with 40 points, but prior to that they conceded just 12 points each to the Titans, Sea Eagles and Eels.

This isn’t to say the likes of Tedesco and Walker won’t go large, but I do think we need to reassess the Bulldogs as the easybeats we saw earlier in the season.

Following the Bulldogs comes the Panthers, which looms as a brutal match-up after losing to them 40-4 earlier in the season.

After that, the draw opens up against the Tigers, Dolphins and Rabbitohs all at Allianz Stadium, although there is a genuine resting risk in Round 27.

Normally the advice would be to wait due to the fixtures, but with a breakeven of 15 for Teddy and -30 for Walker, you probably have to go this week if wanting them for the run home. Definitely Walker.

Personally I’d buy Teddy and probably avoid Walker.

The numbers for Walker do add up though; if we exclude the high of 207 and low of -1 (remarkable contrast!), he’s averaged 84.9 points per game across his last 11 fixtures.

Mark Nawaqanitawase returned to form with 116 against the Cowboys; non-owners including myself can consider themselves incredibly lucky that’s all it was in that monstrous scoreline. 

He’s bottomed out at $547k with a breakeven of 49, and while you could easily grab him this week, I’m tempted to wait until after the Penrith clash.

Chasing a super POD?

Rob Toia has averaged 77.66 points per game since Round 10 with a low of just 55.

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Bulldogs: 1. Connor Tracey 2. Jacob Kiraz 3. Matt Burton 4. Enari Tuala 5. Jethro Rinakama 6. Stephen Crichton 7. Lachlan Galvin 8. Max King 9. Bailey Hayward 10. Leo Thompson 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Jacob Preston 13. Jaeman Salmon

Bench: 14. Kurt Mann 15. Josh Curran 16. Harry Hayes 17. Sitili Tupouniua 19. Bronson Xerri 20. Jake Turpin

Reserves: 21. Alekolasimi Jones 22. Sean O’Sullivan 23. Jonathan Sua

Analysis: I’d be reluctant to invest in the rejuvenated Bulldogs this week with a tough match-up; however, they do play their final five games in Sydney with a few friendly match-ups to come.

Stephen Crichton is a genuine super POD play at five-eighth, averaging 79.5 points in four games since the move.

This included a 25-point game in 63 minutes when injured against the Raiders.

At $584k with a breakeven of 20, you can probably wait until next week unless finances are tight.

Jacob Kiraz has had a rollercoaster season, which hit another flat spot last week with minimal injury concern for a change.

He’s still been busy enough, as evidenced by 18 runs, two offloads and five tacklebusts last week, for just 42 points!

Watching it closely, it’s simple; he’s on the wrong side of the field.

The Bulldogs are absolutely peppering their left edge of Crichton, Kikau, Burton and Rinakama, while Kiraz and co on the right edge are seeing next to no attacking football.

They score a monstrous 48% of tries on their left compared to just 28% on the right.

It’s a shame as it’s limited his ceiling substantially.

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STORM v SEA EAGLES

Saturday, 3pm, HBF Park, Perth

Storm: 1. Sualauvi Faalogo 2. Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown 3. Jack Howarth 4. Nick Meaney 5. Moses Leo 6. Cameron Munster 7. Hayden Watson 8. Stefano Utoikamanu 9. Tyran Wishart 10. Josh King 11. Cooper Clarke 12. Oryn Keeley 13. Trent Loiero

Bench: 14. Trent Toelau 15. Shawn Blore 16. Davvy Moale 17. Angus Hinchey 18. Joe Chan 19. Jack Hetherington

Reserves: 20. Gabriel Satrick 21. Stanley Huen 22. Manaia Waitere

Analysis: With Melbourne’s season over, a bye next week, then Penrith the following round, they have become a complete avoid on the trade front.

With nothing to lose and extremely high standards at the club, I actually love this match-up for them in Perth, but you wouldn’t buy.

The elite Sua Fa’alogo is a genuine trade-out option next round, especially for those with a head-to-head focus rather than overall.

As a non-Kalyn Ponga owner, I’ll look to flip Sua to KP next round provided the injury front can stay quiet for a week…

Cameron Munster returns at five-eighth, pushing Tyran Wishart to hooker.

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Sea Eagles: 1. Lehi Hopoate 2. Jason Saab 3. Tolutau Koula 4. Reuben Garrick 5. Blake Wilson 6. Joey Walsh 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Taniela Paseka 9. Brandon Wakeham 10. Ethan Bullemor 11. Haumole Olakau’atu 12. Corey Waddell 13. Jake Trbojevic

Bench: 14. Jake Simpkin 15. Nathan Brown 16. Simione Laiafi 17. Fletcher Baker 18. Jackson Shereb 19. Josh Feledy

Reserves: 20. Onitoni Large 21. Nicholas Lenaz 22. Hugo Hart

Analysis: Still no Tom Trbojevic for Manly with the star fullback set to return next round at home to the Dolphins.

Games against Melbourne, Dolphins, Knights, Dragons and Warriors (potential rests?) read relatively well for the Sea Eagles, whose form is hard to read.

While I love this match-up for Manly, the only player I’d look to invest in is Haumole Olakau’atu.

No real need to break down the numbers too far; he’s clearly elite with a season average of 86 points, including an excellent 63.6 in base and power.

At $840k with a breakeven of 103, he’ll be hard to reach for non-owners, but he’ll be worth the investment if you can get there.

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DOLPHINS v BRONCOS

Saturday, 5:30pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Dolphins: 1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 2. Jamayne Isaako 3. Jack Bostock 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Selwyn Cobbo 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Isaiya Katoa 8. Thomas Flegler 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Francis Molo 11. Connelly Lemuelu 12. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki 13. Morgan Knowles

Bench: 14. Kurt Donoghoe 15. Max Plath 16. Tom Gilbert 17. Felise Kaufusi 18. Sebastian Su’a 19. Brad Schneider

Reserves: 20. Brian Pouniu 21. Tevita Naufahu 22. Jake Averillo

Analysis: The red-hot attacking unit of the Dolphins remains a team to target on the run home, with excellent fixtures against the Broncos, Sea Eagles, Eels, Roosters and Titans.

Jamayne Isaako missed out on the action in Wollongong last week with just 47 points.

I was on the hill for that clash, and as a rarity the Dolphins sent their attack almost exclusively to the left edge of Farnworth and Cobbo, while poor old Jamayne caught a cold on the right.

That’ll change as the right has been their dominant edge all season; he remains a quality VC option moving forward.

Selwyn Cobbo sits with an average of 84.71 points across his past seven games.

At $696k with a breakeven of 77, I think he can wait as he comes up against the better defensive edge of the Broncos; however, I think he’s an excellent super POD play from next week.

You could make the move this week, I suspect, though the Dolphins will send their attack to the right edge.

Brisbane’s left have conceded 36% of tries this season, compared to 27% on the right.

Statistically, Brisbane’s right edge are the sixth best defensive edge in the competition (out of 34), which is pretty impressive considering their poor season and the fact Penrith have the top two spots.

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I speak at nauseam about him, but Kulikefu Finefeuiaki is ripe for picking at $592k with a breakeven of 41.

After a mid-season lull, his work rate has bounced back big time over the past month.

He’s scored 80+ in three of his past four games with 67 in base alone in that time.

Since round 2 he’s scored one try and set up none; there are big scores to come. 

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Broncos: 1. Reece Walsh 2. Josiah Karapani 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Deine Mariner 5. Grant Anderson 6. Ezra Mam 7. Thomas Duffy 8. Xavier Willison 9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas 11. Jaiyden Hunt 12. Jordan Riki 13. Patrick Carrigan

Bench: 14. Ben Hunt 15. Va’a Semu 16. Ben Talty 17. Gehamat Shibasaki 18. Jack Gosiewski 19. Hayze Perham

Reserves: 20. Blake Mozer 21. Jesse Arthars 22. Aublix Tawha

Analysis: While there’s no rush to sell Broncos players, you wouldn’t buy any with their season over.

Reece Walsh has scored okay despite a sin-bin, before losing 20 points in updates! Brutal.

Xavier Willison has been named at prop after playing just a handful of minutes before leaving the field with a gash on his leg.

Payne Haas is chipping along well enough, but will the big minutes continue?

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RABBITOHS v EELS 

Saturday, 7:35pm, Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Rabbitohs: 1. Matthew Dufty 2. Alex Johnston 3. Tallis Duncan 4. Jack Wighton 5. Campbell Graham 6. Cody Walker 7. Ashton Ward 8. Tevita Tatola 9. Brandon Smith 10. Keaon Koloamatangi 11. David Fifita 12. Adam Elliott 13. Cameron Murray

Bench: 14. Jye Gray 15. Lachlan Hubner 16. Sean Keppie 17. Jamie Humphreys 18. Jayden Sullivan 19. Thomas Fletcher

Reserves: 20. Liam Le Blanc 21. Moala Graham-Taufa 22. John Radel

Analysis: South Sydney welcome back a number of key players to propel their bid to play finals footy.

Parramatta this week is a terrific match-up, but the draw does get tough from next week with games against the Bulldogs, Warriors, Titans and Roosters (possible mass rest).

Four of five games are in Sydney, while they face the Titans on the Gold Coast, which is a terrific surface for points.

Whether they finish with wins or losses I’m not sure, but they do have points in them regardless of the result.

Tallis Duncan returns; as promising as the match-up is, I’d be a little wary of playing him on return from a hamstring injury if you have decent coverage elsewhere.

He could score a double and tonne up, or tweak the hamstring early on.

David Fifita returns, pushing Keaon Koloamatangi to the middle, which is a significant boost for his scoring potential.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Adam Elliott play middle on game day, with Keaon on the edge.

Cameron Murray is also back on deck for the Bunnies.

Eels: 1. Isaiah Iongi 2. Brian Kelly 3. Viliami Penisini 4. Jordan Samrani 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Ronald Volkman 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Sam Tuivaiti 9. Tallyn Da Silva 10. Luca Moretti 11. Jack Williams 12. Kitione Kautoga 13. Jack de Belin

Bench: 14. Saxon Pryke 15. Junior Paulo 16. Teancum Brown 17. Kelma Tuilagi 18. Joash Papali’i 19. Jezaiah Funa-Luta

Reserves: 20. Toni Mataele 21. Sean Russell 22. Ryley Smith

Analysis: Pass.

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RAIDERS v KNIGHTS

Sunday, 2pm, GIO Stadium, Canberra

Raiders: 1. Kaeo Weekes 2. Jed Stuart 3. Simi Sasagi 4. Matthew Timoko 5. Xavier Savage 6. Ethan Strange 7. Ethan Sanders 8. Corey Horsburgh 9. Owen Pattie 10. Joseph Tapine 11. Zac Hosking 12. Ata Mariota 13. Morgan Smithies

Bench: 14. Tom Starling 15. Joseph Roddy 16. Josh Papali’i 17. Daine Laurie 18. Savelio Tamale 19. Matt Nicholson

Reserves: 20. Coby Black 21. Mark Tuialii 22. Vena Patuki-Case

Analysis: One loss away from the season ending, Canberra isn’t a team I’d look to invest in.

They have a tough run home against the Knights, Sharks, Broncos, bye and Cowboys.

Even more so for head-to-head focused players with the bye in grand final week.

Zac Hosking returned to 80 minutes last week and was one of the Raiders’ best; he’s a decent play this week in starting teams.

Simi Sasagi returns at centre ahead of a brilliant battle with Bradman Best.

Sasagi also has some concern around playing in squads this week on return from a hamstring concern.

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Knights: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Dominic Young 3. Dane Gagai 4. Bradman Best 5. Greg Marzhew 6. Fletcher Sharpe 7. Sandon Smith 8. Tyson Frizell 9. Phoenix Crossland 10. Trey Mooney 11. Jermaine McEwen 12. Francis Manuleleua 13. Mathew Croker

Bench: 14. Harrison Graham 15. Cody Hopwood 16. Lachlan Crouch 17. Thomas Cant 18. Fletcher Hunt 19. Brodie Jones

Reserves: 20. Toby Winter 21. Kyle McCarthy 22. Diesel Hagan

Analysis: Newcastle are a team to target; however, there’s a bit to pull apart in their run home.

Incoming games against the Raiders (A), Titans (H) and Sea Eagles (H) are mouthwatering.

However, they finish with an extremely tough away trip to New Zealand in Round 26 (H2H grand finals) then the bye in Round 27.

I’d be wary of overinvesting in too many players for that reason, as most already own at least two of their contingent.

For those with trades in the bank that can potentially trade one or two out in the final rounds, there are plenty of targets for the next three weeks.

Kalyn Ponga could erupt and looks a prime candidate for fullback roulette for non-owners.

Fletcher Sharpe and Greg Marzhew both bounced back to form with tonnes against the Broncos, while Dom Young was exceptional on the right edge for his 91 points.

Those that brought Francis Manuleleua earlier in the season as a cash grab / nuff that have managed to hold onto the barnstorming back-rower have been dealt a gift from the Supercoach Gods.

He’s now at $456k with a breakeven of -32, boasting a three-round average of 78 points.

He’s destructive in an 80-minute role in the left edge back-row spot vacated by the injured Dylan Lucas and will be a great play in coming rounds.

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DRAGONS v SHARKS

Sunday, 4:05pm, Kogarah Oval, Sydney

Dragons: 1. Clinton Gutherson 2. Setu Tu 3. Moses Suli 4. Valentine Holmes 5. Tyrell Sloan 6. Lyhkan King-Togia 7. Kyle Flanagan 8. Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga 9. Damien Cook 10. Emre Guler 11. Dylan Egan 12. Hamish Stewart 13. Ryan Couchman

Bench: 14. Jacob Liddle 15. Josh Kerr 16. Jacob Halangahu 17. Jacob Webster 18. Daniel Atkinson 19. Mathew Feagai

Reserves: 20. Luciano Leilua 21. Christian Tuipulotu 22. Ryan Hutchinson

Analysis: Toby Couchman is out due to a failed HIA in the loss to the Dolphins.

Hamish ‘Iwishibroughthimthreemonthsago’ Stewart hasn’t scored under 64 since Round 6 and hasn’t scored under 50 all season.

Since moving to the edge he’s averaged 79.4 points in 10 games since moving to the edge.

He’ll be a Supercoach staple for years to come.

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Sharks: 1. William Kennedy 2. Sione Katoa 3. Jesse Ramien 4. Mawene Hiroti 5. Ronaldo Mulitalo 6. Braydon Trindall 7. Nicho Hynes 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Jesse Colquhoun 11. Briton Nikora 12. Teig Wilton 13. Cameron McInnes

Bench: 14. Hohepa Puru 15. Billy Burns 16. Oregon Kaufusi 17. Thomas Hazelton 18. Michael Gabrael 19. Braden Hamlin-Uele

Reserves: 20. Niwhai Puru 21. Samuel Stonestreet 22. Tuku Hau Tapuha

Analysis: Cronulla’s run gets better and better with games against the Dragons, Raiders, Titans, Eels and Storm.

It’ll be exceptionally hard to not captain Nicho Hynes every week on current form, while initiating a vice-captain loop with Nicho still to play will require a big number as I’ve learnt in recent weeks.

KL Iro’s injury last week was devastating for owners; now missing the dream clash with the Dragons hurts even more.

Blayke Brailey delivered for new owners with 91 points and is the clear pick at hooker for anyone needing a No.9.

With Iro gone in the short-term, Ronaldo Mulitalo looks the pick of the outside backs with tonnes in consecutive games.