Tim Williams
SC Playbook founder, 2nd NRL 2020, 43rd BBL 21/22'
NRL Supercoach veteran Tim Williams analyses the NRL squads for the round 27 fixtures with Supercoach analysis
NRLThe carnage has arrived…
NRL Supercoach is a tough game at the best of times, but we’re now facing one of the most brutal climaxes to a season in recent memory.
With the NRL top four and top eight locked in, numerous teams have mass-rested across the competition.
Others have named key players; however, it’s extremely likely we’ll see more withdrawals as the week unfolds.
Congratulations to all of those who claimed grand final glory in Round 26.
The attention now turns to the overall race, with coaches scrambling to field a full squad.

While the Stallions always embrace the chaos late in the season, a host of injuries means even we’ll be scrapping for a full squad despite the long-term depth strategy.
We had an underwhelming round once again, with just 1,236 points scored to drop to 9.7k overall in a disappointing backend of the campaign.
Shout out to my trade last week: Greg Marzhew (117) out, Braidon Burns (31) in…
Outside of an injury-impacted game, it was the first time since Round 19, 2019 that he hasn’t busted a single tackle.
Burns dropped out of my team as the lowest scorer in flex. Ah, the joys of Supercoach…
With extreme uncertainty around essentially every line-up, I’ll be a lot more brief in the analysis below this week, instead flagging a few prime targets for anyone with trades along with the team changes themselves.
As always, we’ll discuss the teams in-depth on the SC Playbook podcast.
Let’s take a look at the NRL Supercoach analysis for the Round 27 teams, with squad lists courtesy of Fox Sports.
Embed from Getty ImagesThursday, 7:50pm, Accor Stadium, Sydney
Bulldogs: 1. Connor Tracey 2. Jacob Kiraz 3. Matt Burton 4. Bronson Xerri 5. Enari Tuala 6. Stephen Crichton 7. Lachlan Galvin 8. Max King 9. Bailey Hayward 10. Leo Thompson 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Jacob Preston 13. Jaeman Salmon
Bench: 14. Jake Turpin 15. Alekolasimi Jones 16. Harry Hayes 17. Josh Curran 19. Jed Reardon 20. Jack Underhill
Reserves: 21. Logan Spinks 22. Sean O’Sullivan 23. Kurt Mann
Analysis: The Bulldogs are a reasonable team to target, despite now having nothing to play for.
Their left edge is extremely dominant; however, the right edge comes up against the Broncos’ awful defensive edge on the left.
With Matt Burton shifting to right centre last week, far more attack was sent down that side.
Jacob Kiraz has been named to play despite carrying a calf injury for a month; fingers crossed for owners he actually takes the field.
Jacob Preston will be charging at Ezra Mam and is a genuine target this week, coming off his tonne against the Panthers, which included an outstanding 78 in base and power!
Embed from Getty ImagesBroncos: 1. Hayze Perham 2. Josiah Karapani 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Deine Mariner 5. Grant Anderson 6. Ezra Mam 7. Ben Hunt 8. Xavier Willison 9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas 11. Jaiyden Hunt 12. Jordan Riki 13. Patrick Carrigan
Bench: 14. Thomas Duffy 15. Va’a Semu 16. Jack Gosiewski 17. Aublix Tawha 18. Gehamat Shibasaki 19. Ben Talty
Reserves: 20. Cameron Bukowski 21. Jesse Arthars 22. Preston Riki
Analysis: Very little interest in the Broncos after an underwhelming performance at home against Melbourne.
Payne Haas plays his final game for the club and should finish in style and is a sneaky VC option, especially with a free loop available to most.
Embed from Getty ImagesFriday, 6pm, Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
Titans: 1. Keano Kini 2. Sialetili Faeamani 3. Jaylan De Groot 4. AJ Brimson 5. Phillip Sami 6. Jayden Campbell 7. Lachlan Ilias 8. Moeaki Fotuaika 9. Luke Sommerton 10. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui 11. Kurtis Morrin 12. Beau Fermor 13. Chris Randall
Bench: 14. Klese Haas 15. Cooper Bai 16. Bodhi Sharpley 17. Sam Verrills 18. Josh Patston 19. Sunny Kama
Reserves: 20. Tony Francis 21. Jett Liu 22. Adam Christensen
Analysis: Tino Fa’asuamaleaui is finishing the season with a bang, notching 120 points in the loss to the Rabbitohs.
This included a ridiculous 93 points in base and power, made up of 50 tackles, five tacklebreaks, and 17 runs. Huge!
He’s averaged 90 points per game over the past seven weeks, and has played 70+ minutes every game over the past month.
Oliver Pascoe will miss the clash through injury in a huge blow for owners.
Embed from Getty ImagesDolphins: 1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 2. Jamayne Isaako 3. Jack Bostock 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Tevita Naufahu 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Isaiya Katoa 8. Thomas Flegler 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Tom Gilbert 11. Max Plath 12. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki 13. Morgan Knowles
Bench: 14. Kurt Donoghoe 15. Ray Stone 16. Francis Molo 17. Felise Kaufusi 18. Brian Pouniu 19. Brad Schneider
Reserves: 20. Jake Averillo 21. Connelly Lemuelu 22. Sebastian Su’a
Analysis: Selwyn Cobbo is out, while the Dolphins have named a full-strength squad otherwise.
Tevita Naufahu becomes a huge target to cap off the season at zero ownership leading into the round.
The left winger is averaging 76.16 points in his six games of 80 minutes this season.
He averaged 74 points across his seven games last season, finishing the year with scores of 124 and 170 (against the reserve grade Raiders).
Friday, 8pm, Allianz Stadium, Sydney
Rabbitohs: 1. Jye Gray 2. Alex Johnston 3. Latrell Mitchell 4. Jack Wighton 5. Campbell Graham 7. Jayden Sullivan 8. Tevita Tatola 9. Brandon Smith 10. Keaon Koloamatangi 11. David Fifita 12. Adam Elliott 13. Cameron Murray 23. Jai Arrow
Bnech: 6. Cody Walker 14. Matthew Dufty 15. Lachlan Hubner 16. Sean Keppie 17. Jamie Humphreys 18. Euan Aitken 19. Latrell Siegwalt
Reserves: 20. Liam Le Blanc 21. Talanoa Penitani 22. Peter Mamouzelos
Analysis: South Sydney have named a full-strength squad, outside of Tallis Duncan, who will be rested.
With the Roosters depleted, this becomes a tantalising match-up for the Rabbitohs.
For me it’s simply left-side, strong-side.
We ranked our top-scoring players of the week on the SC Playbook podcast, I have Alex Johnston and Latrell Mitchell at one and two.
Coming up against a genuine NSW Cup backline, this match-up couldn’t be any better for the star combination.
If you have trades and money, these two pick themselves in my eyes.
Despite his 174-point masterclass last week, I’d avoid Cam Murray who I suspect gets an early shower.
Embed from Getty ImagesRoosters: 1. Cody Ramsey 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Fetalaiga Pauga 4. Tommy Talau 5. Rex Bassingthwaighte 6. Reece Foley 7. Toby Rodwell 8. Spencer Leniu 9. Benaiah Ioelu 10. Lindsay Collins 11. Salesi Foketi 12. Egan Butcher 13. Connor Watson
Bench: 14. Tom Rodwell 15. Taylor Losalu 16. Delasalle Vaa 17. Aston Warwick 18. Jake Elliott 19. Hayden Barton
Reserves: 20. Lui Lee 21. Max McCathie 22. Nat Butcher
Analysis: The Roosters have MASS RESTED!
Little to be said here with no Supercoach relevance.
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Saturday, 3pm, Go Media Stadium, Auckland
Warriors: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Adam Pompey 3. Ali Leiataua 4. Leka Halasima 5. Alofiana Khan-Pereira 6. Chanel Harris-Tavita 7. Te Maire Martin 8. James Fisher-Harris 9. Samuel Healey 10. Mitchell Barnett 11. Eddie Ieremia-Toeava 12. Jacob Laban 13. Erin Clark
Bench: 14. Makaia Tafua 15. Tanner Stowers-Smith 16. Demitric Vaimauga 17. Morgan Gannon 18. Taine Tuaupiki 20. Kayliss Fatialofa
Reserves: 21. Jett Cleary 22. Jye Linnane 23. Haizyn Mellars
Analysis: The Warriors will run out with an essentially full squad, outside of a few players being managed. This makes them a great team to target.
Te Maire Martin has again been named to return at halfback in a huge boost for those who still own, provided he does in fact start the game.
Embed from Getty ImagesSea Eagles: 1. Tom Trbojevic 2. Jason Saab 3. Josh Feledy 4. Reuben Garrick 5. Lehi Hopoate 6. Clayton Faulalo 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Simione Laiafi 9. Brandon Wakeham 10. Nathan Brown 11. Haumole Olakau’atu 12. Ben Trbojevic 13. Jake Trbojevic
Bench: 14. Jake Simpkin 15. Nicholas Lenaz 16. Corey Waddell 17. Caleb Navale 18. Onitoni Large 19. Fletcher Baker
Reserves: 20. Blake Wilson 21. Hugo Hart 22. Jackson Shereb
Analysis: You wouldn’t look to buy any Sea Eagles players for a tough trip across the Tasman against a Warriors outfit playing for the minor premiership.
Embed from Getty ImagesSaturday, 5:30pm, QCB Stadium, Townsville
Cowboys: 1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Braidon Burns 3. Jaxon Purdue 4. Tomas Chester 5. Robert Derby 6. Jake Clifford 7. Tom Dearden 8. Coen Hess 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Jason Taumalolo 11. Heilum Luki 12. John Bateman 13. Reuben Cotter
Bench: 14. Soni Luke 15. Sam McIntyre 16. Thomas Mikaele 17. Kaiden Lahrs 18. Kai O’Donnell 19. Ethan King
Reserves: 20. Mason Kira 21. Ronald Philitoga 22. Liam Sutton
Analysis: At full-strength and relatively fresh after a bye a fortnight back, the Cowboys are a team to target this week.
Canberra should put up a fight, but with nothing on the line to end the season, a trip to Townsville isn’t ideal for the Green Machine, and there should be points scored both ways.
Scott Drinkwater remains an outstanding purchase this week after producing a strong 91 points against the Tigers.
He’ll be a popular vice-captain or straight captaincy play again this week.
You could make a case for a few Cowboys players; however, if you have a trade and don’t own Drinky, I think he’s the very clear No.1 pick.
Embed from Getty ImagesRaiders: 1. Kaeo Weekes 2. Jed Stuart 3. Simi Sasagi 4. Matthew Timoko 5. Xavier Savage 6. Ethan Strange 7. Coby Black 8. Josh Papali’i 9. Owen Pattie 10. Joseph Tapine 11. Noah Martin 12. Matt Nicholson 13. Ata Mariota
Bench: 14. Malachi Smith 15. Joseph Roddy 16. Morgan Smithies 17. Vena Patuki-Case 18. Tom Starling 19. Daine Laurie
Reserves: 20. Ethan Sanders 21. Mark Tuialii 22. Jesse Milin
Analysis: Simi Sasagi has been named to face the Cowboys in a huge boost for owners.
Zac Hosking is out with a hamstring injury.
While there’s no reason why Raiders players won’t perform reasonably well, you wouldn’t rush to invest in any players.
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Saturday, 7:35pm, Shark Park, Sydney
Sharks: 1. William Kennedy 2. Sione Katoa 3. Riley Jones 4. Michael Gabrael 5. Ronaldo Mulitalo 6. Riley Pollard 7. Niwhai Puru 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Hohepa Puru 10. Jesse Colquhoun 11. Briton Nikora 12. Billy Burns 13. Cameron McInnes
Bench: 14. Siosifa Talakai 15. Toby Rudolf 16. Oregon Kaufusi 17. Braden Hamlin-Uele 18. Jayden Berrell 19. Tuku Hau Tapuha
Reserves: 20. Liam Ison 21. Samuel Stonestreet 22. KL Iro
Analysis: The Sharks have rested some of their big stars, but have still named a solid outfit rather than a complete ‘mass rest’.
KL Iro has been named in jumper 22, I suspect this is due to a lack of numbers to name.
Players such as Ronaldo Mulitalo and Briton Nikora all of a sudden become far less appealing with so many players out, but at least they’re playing!
Embed from Getty ImagesStorm: 1. Sualauvi Faalogo 2. Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown 3. Tyran Wishart 4. Nick Meaney 5. Moses Leo 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Stefano Utoikamanu 9. Harry Grant 10. Josh King 11. Shawn Blore 12. Oryn Keeley 13. Trent Loiero
Bench: 14. Trent Toelau 15. Cooper Clarke 16. Jack Hetherington 17. Alec MacDonald 18. Angus Hinchey 19. Hugo Peel
Reserves: 20. Davvy Moale 21. Manaia Waitere 22. Hayden Watson
Analysis: This match-up all of a sudden becomes a far better match-up for the Storm who will be out to finish the season on a high against a weakened Sharks outfit.
Sua Fa’alogo rockets into captaincy contention in a strong Melbourne outfit.
Jahrome Hughes becomes a bit of a left-field final round play for those looking for a super POD.
Embed from Getty ImagesSunday, 2pm, WIN Stadium, Wollongong
Dragons: 1. Daniel Atkinson 2. Mathew Feagai 3. Moses Suli 4. Valentine Holmes 5. Tyrell Sloan 6. Lyhkan King-Togia 7. Kyle Flanagan 8. Toby Couchman 9. Damien Cook 10. Blake Lawrie 11. Dylan Egan 12. Hamish Stewart 13. Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga
Bench: 14. Connor Muhleisen 15. Ryan Couchman 16. Josh Kerr 17. Jacob Halangahu 18. Jacob Webster 19. Setu Tu
Reserves: 20. Ryan Hutchinson 21. Kade Reed 22. Nicholas Tsougranis
Analysis: A day clash in the Gong to cap the season looms as a reasonable match-up for both clubs.
Both sides are playing only for pride, but after awful years they’ll be keen to finish on a high.
Regardless, I still don’t particularly like any assets from either squad.
You could take a punt on the likes of Val Holmes, Hamish Stewart or perhaps even a little Mitch Moses flyer for the Eels, but I think there are better purchases.
Embed from Getty ImagesEels: 1. Apa Twidle 2. Brian Kelly 3. Viliami Penisini 4. Jordan Samrani 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Ronald Volkman 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Luca Moretti 9. Tallyn Da Silva 10. Junior Paulo 11. Jack Williams 12. Kitione Kautoga 13. Saxon Pryke
Bench: 14. Harrison Edwards 15. Jack de Belin 16. Teancum Brown 17. Dylan Walker 18. Tyrese Lokeni 19. Sean Russell
Reserves: 20. Kelma Tuilagi 21. Jonah Pezet 22. Ryley Smith
Analysis: As above.
Embed from Getty ImagesSunday, 4:05pm, CommBank Stadium, Sydney
Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Thomas Jenkins 3. Luke Garner 4. Casey McLean 5. Brian To’o 6. Jack Cole 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Mitch Kenny 10. Liam Henry 11. Isaiah Papali’i 12. Liam Martin 13. Lindsay Smith
Bench: 14. Freddy Lussick 15. Scott Sorensen 16. Luron Patea 17. Billy Phillips 18. Blaize Talagi 19. Billy Scott 20. Kalani Leuluai-going
Reserves: 21. Jesse McLean 22. Isaah Yeo 23. John Farragher
Analysis: Penrith have sent out their full-strength outfit, an enormous win for Supercoaches!
Whether or not they run out as named remains to be seen, but let’s work off the assumption they do.
Nathan Cleary becomes an almost too obvious captaincy pick, however an early shower is almost a certainty provided the Panthers have a lead.
Dylan Edwards is dirt cheap at just $562k and with no Jaxen Edgar on the bench he should be a pretty safe buy, although Blaize Talagi is an option at fullback.
With Tommy Jenkins fighting for the top try-scorer mantle he could be in for a huge afternoon at Commbank.
With that left edge expected to get a tonne of ball, Casey McLean is also a sneaky option, although there’s probably better buys.
Embed from Getty ImagesTigers: 1. Jahream Bula 2. Junior Tupou 3. Solomane Saukuru 4. Patrick Herbert 5. Jeral Skelton 6. Jarome Luai 7. Jock Madden 8. Terrell May 9. Apisai Koroisau 10. Fonua Pole 11. Samuela Fainu 12. Sione Fainu 13. Alex Seyfarth
Bench: 14. Latu Fainu 15. Vaka Aho 16. Ethan Roberts 17. Bunty Afoa 18. Heath Mason 19. Sunia Turuva
Reserves: 20. Tristan Hope 21. Charlie Murray 22. Faaletino Tavana
Analysis: No interest here despite a few improved showings to end the season from the Tigers.
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