NFL Supercoach | The Blitz, everything you need to know Week 10

NFL Supercoach expert Oscar Henderson goes through talking points, injuries, breakevens, trades, and more ahead of Week 10

NFL

Welcome back to The Blitz. Here we recap the last week of crazy NFL action and look ahead at the week to come, all through an NFL Supercoach lens, of course!

Week 9 Talking Points

Trade deadline fallout

The biggest moves at the trade deadline probably came on the defensive side of the ball, but there were still some important moves that may have an effect on NFL Supercoachers.

Obviously, as a Vikings fan, I have to start with Kirko Chains returning to Minnesota and hopefully pumping some sort of life into this offence.

The biggest winner from this move has got to be Justin Jefferson, who may be in for a monster second half of the season with his old quarterback. One to watch.

This move also means we will FINALLY get to see Fernando Mendoza on the field. This coincides with Carson Beck also in line to receive his first start this week, with the Cardinals trading away Brissett and Minshew getting injured a few days after.

Probably too little too late to be trying to generate cash at the QB position now, though.

As mentioned, the Ravens also traded for Jacoby Brissett as a temporary solution while Lamar is injured. Can he help this Ravens offence stay at least competent for the next month?

Unlike Jonathan Taylor, who is still stuck on the sinking ship in Indianapolis, Josh Downs was able to escape all the way to Kansas City to now have Mahomes throwing him the ball.

At just $7.39m, definitely another one to keep an eye on for the run home.

Same for veteran receiver Keenan Allen, who joins a depleted 49ers receiving room.

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Three-headed dragons that specialise in aerial attacks

When one of us eats, everyone eats type vibe. 5 of the top 9 Supercoach scorers this week came from just two teams. The Packers and the Bengals.

Two teams with a horrid run game but an elite quarterback and receiver room, throwing caution to the wind and just airing that football out play after play. This is what you get.

Is it absurd to triple up on either of these sides? The numbers speak for themselves last week.

Jordan Love: 3 passing TDs, 1 rushing TD, 372 yards and 71 Supercoach points. Matthew Golden: 10 catches, 164 yards and a touchdown for 54 points. Christian Watson: 7 catches, 171 yards and a touchdown for 53 points.

Joe Burrow: 3 passing TDs, 1 rushing TD, 271 yards and 58 Supercoach points. Ja’Marr Chase: 10 catches, 155 yards and a touchdown for 53 points. Tee Higgins: 5 catches, 32 yards and TWO touchdowns for 35 points.

Friendly reminder to not trade out your guns

Kenneth Walker entered last week’s game with scores of 15 and 20 the previous two weeks. He then exploded for 68 points thanks to 143 all-purpose yards and a hat-trick of touchdowns.

Bijan Robinson was coming off a much tougher run. Sub-30 scores for 4 weeks straight heading into last week, where he bounced back with 47 points thanks to 147 all-purpose yards and a touchdown.

Don’t trade out your guns after a few bad weeks. It is a long season with limited trades; they will repay the faith.

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Availability Watch

In this section, I will give the latest injury and suspension updates, focusing on the more Supercoach-relevant players.

As always with these things, the information given to the public is not always perfect and can sometimes change quickly.

Reminder that IR refers to Injured Reserve, and players put on the IR will miss a minimum of 4 games.

Gardner Minshew II (ARI): Will undergo UCL surgery on an elbow injury and is out for the season.

Michael Wilson (ARI): Suffered a neck injury and is also expected to miss the season, has been placed on IR.

Puka Nacua (LAR): Is not officially on IR, but is expected to miss a significant period of time after suffering multiple knee injuries and a turf toe-related injury.

Malik Willis (MIA): Has been placed on IR with a core muscle injury.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE): Is dealing with a knee issue that will likely see him miss multiple weeks, officially listed as questionable.

J.J. McCarthy (NYG): Listed as a full participant in practice and is expected to play despite hip injury concerns.

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Breakevens

Breakevens are the score required for the player to either make money or lose money.

Generally, when looking at who to trade in, heavily consider the players with low breakevens, as they are likely to rise in price.

Similarly, if you have players with high breakevens in your team, it could be time to consider cutting ties to ensure your team doesn’t lose too much value.

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Potential Price Risers (low breakevens)

PlayerBreakevenPricePositionTeam
Tony Pollard-40$17,170,000RBTEN
Case Keenum-31$4,000,000QBCHI
Emmett Johnson-24$8,010,000RBKC
Jonah Coleman-22$9,720,000RBDEN
Buffalo Bills-21$7,560,000DSTBUF
Kayshon Boutte-20$7,960,000WRHOU
Dameon Pierce-20$5,810,000RBPHI
Tyler Allgeier-19$12,030,000RBARI
Adonai Mitchell-17$9,880,000WRNYJ
Jordan Watkins-16$6,340,000WRSF

Potential Price Fallers (high breakevens)

PlayerBreakevenPricePositionTeam
Jared Goff77$22,440,000QBDET
Jaxson Dart74$26,320,000QBNYG
Justin Fields71$20,340,000QBKC
De’Von Achane71$19,360,000RBMIA
Jonathan Taylor66$17,980,000RBIND
Jaxon Smith-Njigba64$25,220,000WRSEA
Carson Wentz64$15,300,000QBMIN
Matthew Stafford61$21,390,000QBLAR
Aaron Rodgers61$19,990,000QBPIT
Jahmyr Gibbs59$27,360,000RBDET
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Most Traded In (by top 10%)

PlayerTradesTrades (%)PricePositionTeam
Christian McCaffrey2199.7%$24,450,000RBSF
Ja’Marr Chase1988.7%$21,320,000WRCIN
Fernando Mendoza1576.9%$5,000,000QBLV
Amon-Ra St. Brown1345.9%$17,770,000WRDET
Tank Dell1345.9%$6,730,000WRHOU
Justin Jefferson954.2%$11,750,000WRMIN
Joe Burrow944.2%$32,860,000QBCIN
CeeDee Lamb904.0%$20,180,000WRDAL
Christian Watson843.7%$17,240,000WRGB
Tee Higgins683.0%$22,230,000WRCIN

Most Traded Out (by top 10%)

PlayerTradesTrades (%)PricePositionTeam
Puka Nacua51522.7%$24,270,000WRLAR
Braelon Allen1356.0%$14,650,000RBNYJ
Tanner McKee1345.9%$8,060,000QBPHI
Bhayshul Tuten1305.7%$18,350,000RBJAX
Germie Bernard873.8%$9,730,000WRPIT
Ollie Gordon II833.7%$12,970,000RBMIA
Drake Maye703.1%$29,360,000QBNE
Zay Flowers612.7%$16,750,000WRBAL
Chuba Hubbard572.5%$17,610,000RBCAR
Omar Cooper Jr.572.5%$11,100,000WRNYJ
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My Trades

Week 9 was a high-scoring week across the board, and ‘WillFriesBag’ was able to somewhat capitalise, amassing 608 points to FINALLY move into the top 1k, into 800ish.

I ended up doing just the one trade last week, downgrading Henry to Coleman, which went well. I now have $10 million in the bank to play with, and some big potential moves on the horizon.

The first player we have to talk about is the form player of the comp, Joey Burrow. 58 points on the weekend to bring his 3-week Supercoach average to a ridiculous 66.3.

After a somewhat slow start to the season by his standards, Burrow has been on an absolute tear, with a lowest score of 49 in the past 5 weeks.

As I mentioned above, this is a team that knows what they are good at and is sticking to it.

The only issue is, he is now the highest-priced player in the game, sitting at a premium of $32.86m. But perhaps the more alarming figure is his breakeven of just 17, which means it may be now or never in terms of affording to bring him in.

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I think it would be silly to trade out Josh Allen, and I will definitely not be doing that. Which leaves Drake Maye as my only trade-out candidate if I were to bring Burrow in.

Luckily, Maye is the second most expensive player in the game, so it is only an extra few million to upgrade to Burrow, and I think I have to do it.

Maye has been very solid and has a great matchup against Detroit this week. But if you asked me who I think will score more for the rest of the season, I think I would have to go with the hot hand in Burrow.

And just to add the cherry on top, well, two cherries on top. Drake Maye has a bye next week (and Burrow has already had his), and the Bengals’ schedule for the rest of the season is looking very, very nice.

So I think I will be locking in Maye to Burrow as one trade this week.

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Outside of that, I am looking at sticking solid and doing nothing.

I said in my article last week that I think Christian McCaffrey is the 4th running back I want for the run home.

Well, after his big performance last week, he is actually the most-traded in player this week.

Although I could bring him in, it would cost me two trades, as I would have to downgrade somewhere else. I am still tempted to do it, but after this week, the 49ers play Minnesota and Seattle, the two best defences in the league, in my opinion.

The 49ers are an offensive juggernaut, so CMC may still score well, but the tough schedule combined with the fact that it would cost me two trades may make me pass on him for now.

If you can afford the play, though, I would not talk out of it at all, especially with the Cowboys this week; he could go nuclear.

My Captains

A very, very easy week for captaincy choices for me.

VC Josh Allen against the division rival Jets on early Monday morning.

Loop anything 50+, and if not, sit back and watch new recruit and captain Joe Burrow against the division rival Steelers in prime time Monday afternoon.

That’s all from me, good luck for this week!

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