NRL Round 9 Teams: Supercoach Squad Analysis

Easter, ANZAC Day, Magic Round…

We’ve been blessed with a truly special trio of weekends for NRL fans, culminating in the festival of rugby league up in Brisbane.

It’s one of the great rounds of the season up on Caxton Street, I highly recommend saving a few pennies in the future and rallying a few mates to make the trip.

The Stallions will have some extra kick in the step this time around off the back of 1,490 points in round 8 to take our rank up into 916^th overall which is exciting.

The decision to bring in Scott Drinkwater and captain for his 132 points over Nathan Cleary was the decisive factor in the green arrows in the rankings.

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Captaincy decisions again played an influential part in the round, and as we learn more and more about the influence of ‘The Flex’ rule, it’s clear that vice-captaincy loopholing is becoming a more viable tactic.

In past years, you’d be lucky to loop maybe two or three times in a season (outside of the three major bye rounds), now it might be more like five or six times per season.

Further, as the bar has lowered for the required score to loop, you don’t necessarily have to VC a risky player with a huge ceiling; you can VC a reliable scorer such as Payne Haas or Terrell May and take their 110.

We’ll have a big discussion on this week’s SC Playbook podcast on what the vice-captaincy loophole is and how to use it for the newer players to the game who don’t fully understand, and we’ll also chat about what the viable number to loop is in the current game.

But yes, it’s dropped plenty…

Let’s take a look at the NRL Supercoach Round 9 teams analysis, with squad lists courtesy of Fox Sports.

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SHARKS v EELS

Friday, 6pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Sharks: 1. William Kennedy 2. Samuel Stonestreet 3. Jesse Ramien 4. Kayal Iro 5. Ronaldo Mulitalo 6. Braydon Trindall 7. Nicho Hynes 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Oregon Kaufusi 11. Briton Nikora 12. Billy Burns 13. Cameron McInnes

Bench: 14. Daniel Atkinson 15. Siosifa Talakai 16. Braden Hamlin-Uele 17. Thomas Hazelton

Reserves: 18. Jayden Berrell 19. Tuku Hau Tapuha 20. Jesse Colquhoun 21. Hohepa Puru

Analysis: Nicho Hynes is a long way from his best, but he has shown signs of improvement in recent weeks and is still averaging a decent 68 points per game.

He scored 78 against the Tigers which was inches on multiple occasions from being a 100+ score.

With coverage of the first two major bye rounds and a bottomed-out price of $618k and a breakeven of 55, I think he’s a buy.

He may not be the Nicho of recent years at this stage, but a 68-averaging halfback with bye coverage and a huge ceiling is hard to ignore.

Briton Nikora is echoing last season with his price beginning to bottom out at $555k with a breakeven of 90.

After 14 rounds last season, he was averaging just 54.8 points per game, before exploding with 120 against the Dolphins to finish the season with a 70-point average.

It’s worth noting his base is down from 45 to 39 this season which isn’t ideal, but we know his class and attacking upside is there.

KL Iro returns in place of the injured Mawene Hiroti.

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Eels: 1. Isaiah Iongi 2. Bailey Simonsson 3. Viliami Penisini 4. Sean Russell 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Jack Williams 9. Ryley Smith 10. Junior Paulo 11. Charlie Guymer 12. Kitione Kautoga 13. J’maine Hopgood

Bench: 14. Dylan Walker 15. Luca Moretti 16. Matt Doorey 17. Sam Tuivaiti

Reserves: 18. Ryan Matterson 19. Joash Papali’i 20. Dean Hawkins 21. Bryce Cartwright 22. Jordan Samrani

Analysis: The return of Mitchell Moses sparked plenty of life into an improving Eels outfit.

While they’re clearly a vastly improved outfit with Moses, they’re still second last on the ladder and team changes are frequent, so proceed with some caution if considering any players.

The Eels don’t have another bye until round 15.

Dylan Brown is a popular buy this week at five-eighth despite a relatively poor start to the year in actual NRL.

Despite this, he’s still averaging a healthy enough 61 points per game with just one score under 49.

He’s an okay buy that’ll be a reliable scorer in a fairly unappealing position, but he’s not screaming trade in just yet.

Ryley Smith isn’t setting the world alight in Supercoach terms with 37 points in his first 80-minute game in the NRL against the Tigers.

However if you are looking to move on a peaking hooker I think he’s a solid downgrade option to free up cash and plug into your reserve hooker slot.

Ideally though I’d be avoiding trades at hooker at this stage.

I don’t love any Eels buys this week, if they back up their win with a strong performance against Cronulla we can perhaps begin to look more favourably on their Supercoach prospects.

Charlie Guymer comes into the starting side with Kelma Tuilagi out suspended.

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ROOSTERS v DOLPHINS

Friday, 8:05pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Billy Smith 4. Robert Toia 5. Mark Nawaqanitawase 6. Sandon Smith 7. Hugo Savala 8. Spencer Leniu 9. Connor Watson 10. Naufahu Whyte 11. Angus Crichton 12. Siua Wong 13. Victor Radley

Bench: 14. Zach Dockar-Clay 15. Salesi Foketi 16. Blake Steep 17. Egan Butcher

Reserves: 18. Ethan King 19. Taylor Losalu 20. Chad Townsend 21. Dominic Young 22. Makahesi Makatoa

Analysis: The Roosters have the bye next week so I wouldn’t rush to purchase any players, while they also have stiff opposition after that in the Bulldogs, Sharks and Raiders.

That being said the Dolphins match-up this week is decent enough at Suncorp Stadium.

James Tedesco notched his highest score of the season on ANZAC Day with 128 points to take his season average to 86 points.

He has a breakeven of 81 and isn’t out of the Origin frame just yet, so perhaps it’s worth waiting until after the bye?

Sandon Smith rectified a huge headache in my side (and most others) with 129 points in the hooking slot.

It was a spot I was basically planning on sacrificing in the short-term and just holding and playing Sandon.

While there will likely be some low scores at times, that ceiling he showed, which included a sin-bin, suggests he’s a longer-term hold potentially through the bye period where the Roosters play all major and mini bye rounds.

It was the second-highest Supercoach score of all-time for a player that had been sin-binned, second to Val Holmes’ 136 against the Tigers in 2023 (shout out Random Stats Guy).

Ideally another decent hooker pops up and you can sit/start Sandon based on match-ups.

Plenty are buying this week with money incoming due to his -8 breakeven, unless you’re desperate for a hooker and cash I wouldn’t rush to grab as there could just as easily be a 20 point score this week.

Hugo Savala is a popular cheapie this week as dual 2rf-HFB at $233k with a breakeven of -11.

In his two 80-minute games prior, he had scores of 21 and 20, and I don’t rate the buy.

All the attack goes through Sandon and Teddy.

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Dolphins: 1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 2. Jamayne Isaako 3. Jake Averillo 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Jack Bostock 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Isaiya Katoa 8. Felise Kaufusi 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Francis Molo 11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki 12. Tom Gilbert 13. Mark Nicholls

Bench: 14. Kurt Donoghoe 15. Ray Stone 16. Connelly Lemuelu 17. Josh Kerr

Reserves: 18. Kenny Bromwich 19. Sean O’Sullivan 20. Oryn Keeley 21. Harrison Graham 22. Max Feagai

Analysis: The Dolphins have a great Origin period bye schedule playing the first two major bye rounds.

Despite an improved outfit of late, I don’t particularly like any buys outside of Herbie Farnworth at the moment.

I’m happy to reassess come round 12 to see who appeals.

Herbie is the exception with a 73-point average, including 39 in base per game.

He’s a buy on any given week, with a breakeven of 60, there’s no urgency though for anyone needing to make more pressing trades.

Felise Kaufusi, Jeremy Marshall-King and Kurt Donoghoe return, no sign of Max Plath.

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RABBITOHS v KNIGHTS

Saturday, 3pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Rabbitohs: 1. Jye Gray 2. Bayleigh Bentley-Hape 3. Euan Aitken 4. Campbell Graham 5. Isaiah Tass 6. Jack Wighton 7. Jayden Sullivan 8. Sean Keppie 9. Peter Mamouzelos 10. Tevita Tatola 11. Keaon Koloamatangi 12. Tallis Duncan 13. Jai Arrow

Bench: 14. Liam Le Blanc 15. Lachlan Hubner 16. Davvy Moale 17. Fletcher Myers

Reserves: 18. Thomas Fletcher 19. Lewis Dodd 20. Joshua Schuster 21. Salesi Ataata 22. Nazareth Taua

Analysis: Despite some reasonable form, I have no interest in any Rabbitohs players at this stage.

When Latrell Mitchell returns from his one week suspension, Cody Walker returns from injury and they get through the round 12 bye there’ll definitely be targets, but right now I don’t love their Supercoach prospects.

Jack Wighton shifts to five-eighth after starring last week at centre.

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Knights: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. James Schiller 3. Dane Gagai 4. Bradman Best 5. Greg Marzhew 6. Fletcher Sharpe 7. Jack Cogger 8. Jacob Saifiti 9. Phoenix Crossland 10. Leo Thompson 11. Dylan Lucas 12. Kai Pearce-Paul 13. Tyson Frizell

Bench: 14. Jayden Brailey 15. Mathew Croker 16. Adam Elliott 17. Brodie Jones

Reserves: 18. Thomas Cant 19. Tyson Gamble 20. Kyle McCarthy 21. Matthew Arthur 22. Tyrone Thompson

Analysis: After starting the season with scores of 82 and 129, Kalyn Ponga continues to cause patient owners headaches with a five-round average of just 41 points per game.

He’s been completely void of attacking stats in that period, setting up just one try (five games back) alongside four linebreak assists as his only major attacking stats.

In that period, he hasn’t made a single line break.

The past three games, he’s averaged 13 runs per game, which is okay, but the quality is down significantly.

He peaked in round 3 at $797k, he’s now down to a ridiculous $538k.

So do you hold or sell?

With games against the Rabbitohs, Titans and Dolphins to come I can’t justify selling at the price, but geez it’s becoming a tough watch.

Dylan Lucas got through 77 minutes on return from a hamstring injury in encouraging signs.

He managed 63 points with an outstanding 55 in base.

With no byes to come until round 18 he looks an excellent purchase at $646k with a breakeven of 47.

With Lucas’ return, Thomas Cant played just 27 minutes man has been dropped.

He’s peaked a little earlier than owners would have hoped at $421k with a breakeven of 48.

He’s likely only an edge injury away from an 80-minute role again, so there’s no urgency to sell if you have other issues to deal with.

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WARRIORS v COWBOYS

Saturday, 5:30pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Warriors: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Taine Tuaupiki 3. Rocco Berry 4. Ali Leiataua 5. Adam Pompey 6. Chanel Harris-Tavita 7. Luke Metcalf 8. Marata Niukore 9. Wayde Egan 10. Mitchell Barnett 11. Kurt Capewell 12. Leka Halasima 13. Erin Clark

Bench: 14. Te Maire Martin 15. Jackson Ford 16. Demitric Vaimauga 17. Bunty Afoa

Reserves: 18. Tanner Stowers-Smith 20. Samuel Healey 21. Tanah Boyd 22. Eddie Ieremia 23. Edward Kosi

Analysis: Erin Clark has thrived since the departure of Dylan Walker, averaging 73 points per game in his past four games.

In those games, he has just one try-assist and no tries.

The past two weeks, he has had scores of 108 and 55 in 64 in 61 minutes respectively, including 58 in base against the Knights.

He’s offloading, tackle busting and has a big work rate, which is everything you want in a Supercoach prospect.

With his current form, decent game time should continue making him a viable pick-up as a dual 2RF-FRF, which is extremely valuable alongside Tino Fa’asuamaleaui and Corey Horsburgh.

The addition of Te Maire Martin bodes well for his minutes.

Wayde Egan continues to put his hand up as potentially the premium hooking option with 86 against the Knights to take his season average to 69 points per game.

The Warriors don’t have a bye until round 15.

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Cowboys: 1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Robert Derby 3. Jaxon Purdue 4. Viliami Vailea 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Tom Dearden 7. Jake Clifford 8. Jordan McLean 9. Reece Robson 10. Jason Taumalolo 11. John Bateman 12. Jeremiah Nanai 13. Reuben Cotter

Bench: 14. Sam McIntyre 15. Harrison Edwards 16. Griffin Neame 17. Coen Hess

Reserves: 18. Zac Laybutt 19. Karl Lawton 20. Kai O’Donnell 21. Kaiden Lahrs 22. Thomas Mikaele

Analysis: The Cowboys have found form in emphatic fashion, and with just one bye between now and round 27 they’re quality targets.

Further to that, they play their next four games in Queensland.

Do note that they miss the first major bye round in round 12.

Scott Drinkwater rewarded new owners with 132 points against the Titans in a second-half blitz.

He looks a great buy throughout the Origin period and perhaps longer.

At $750k with a breakeven of 30, you probably need to move on him this week or next at the latest if interested.

Tom Dearden recorded five try-assists for a monstrous 143 points against the Titans.

I’m not convinced on him as a buy, the reality is the Titans’ defence was non-existent…

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If he were to miss Origin, he’d be a great pick-up with guaranteed cash incoming with a breakeven of 5 at $594k, but he’s a huge chance for the Maroons at 6, 14 or even 18^th man.

I’m not convinced he’s a good enough Supercoach prospect to warrant carrying through Origin if selected for Queensland.

While he should score well enough over the next month, he opened the season with scores of 21, 28, and 18.

He’s averaged 58-61 points the past four years and tends to belt out the odd big score from time to time.

Robert Derby looks the CTW cheapie of the week at an awkward price of $360k with a breakeven of -46.

He’ll make quick cash, but do note he had scores of just 26, 32, 48 and 34 leading into his huge 135 against the Titans.

His base of 29 is decent, but he does remain fairly try-reliant. 

He could continue to score tries and make a tonne of money, or he could knock out back-to-back 20s, but that’s most CTW cheapies to be fair.

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TIGERS v DRAGONS

Saturday, 7:45pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Tigers: 1. Jahream Bula 2. Sunia Turuva 3. Adam Doueihi 4. Starford To’a 5. Brent Naden 6. Lachlan Galvin 7. Jarome Luai 8. Terrell May 9. Apisai Koroisau 10. Fonua Pole 11. Samuela Fainu 12. Alex Seyfarth 13. Alex Twal

Bench: 14. Tallyn Da Silva 15. Royce Hunt 16. Jack Bird 17. Sione Fainu

Reserves: 18. Tony Sukkar 19. Heath Mason 20. Kit Laulilii 21. Solomona Faataape 22. Tristan Hope

Analysis: The Tigers have a poor Origin period bye schedule, missing the first two major bye rounds, making them fairly unappealing Supercoach prospects as a result until round 16.

It’s genuinely getting to a point where coaches need to consider the set-and-forget skipper on Terrell May until something changes.

He has back-to-back tonnes, including 118 in 84 minutes against the Sharks with 77 in base and seven offloads.

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Dragons: 1. Clinton Gutherson 2. Tyrell Sloan 3. Moses Suli 4. Valentine Holmes 5. Corey Allan 6. Kyle Flanagan 7. Lyhkan King-Togia 8. Toby Couchman 9. Damien Cook 10. David Klemmer 11. Dylan Egan 12. Jaydn Su’A 13. Hamish Stewart

Bench: 14. Jacob Liddle 15. Jack de Belin 16. Emre Guler 17. Luciano Leilua

Reserves: 18. Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga 19. Nathan Lawson 20. Blake Lawrie 21. Lachlan Ilias 22. Raymond Faitala-Mariner

Analysis: The Dragons were extremely disappointing on ANZAC Day against the Roosters.

When Sione Finau streaked away for an early try, he looked certain to be cheapie of the week in round 9.

However, he finished with just 33 points with a poor 20 in base and has since been dropped in place of Corey Allan.

Val Holmes continues to score well with an average of 70ppg, with just one score under 65 this season.

He’s $730k with a breakeven of 102, but has a likely Origin call-up to deal with.

Dylan Egan played just 49 minutes against the Roosters for 30 points which was very disappointing.

Minutes may have been reduced due to the foregone result of the fixture fairly early on.

As it stands, he’s peaked at $435k with a breakeven of 60, but if he starts again this week as named and goes back to 65+ minutes he’s an indefinite hold with more cash to be made.

I’ll look to hold one more week then move on next round if minutes are poor.

Toby Couchman produced a season low 43 points in 50 minutes.

Early season cheapie Hamish Stewart returns from a concussion at starting lock.

Lachlan Ilias has been dropped in favour of Lyhkan King-Togia.

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TITANS v BULLDOGS

Sunday, 1:50pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Titans: 1. Jaylan De Groot 2. Alofiana Khan-Pereira 3. Brian Kelly 4. Phillip Sami 5. Jojo Fifita 6. AJ Brimson 7. Tom Weaver 8. Moeaki Fotuaika 9. Sam Verrills 10. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 11. Chris Randall 12. Beau Fermor 13. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui

Bench: 14. Klese Haas 15. Iszac Fa’asumaleaui 16. Arama Hau 17. Josiah Pahulu

Reserves: 18. Tony Francis 19. David Fifita 20. Jacob Alick-Wiencke 21. Tukimihia Simpkins 22. Allan Fitzgibbon

Analysis: There’s very little interest at the Titans right now due to their current form and the fact that they miss the first and third major bye rounds.

Further, they take on the Bulldogs this week, albeit weakened by suspensions.

Tino Fa’asuamaleaui remains a hold long-term, while Beau Fermor is the only other point of interest.

In a well-beaten side, Fermor scored 132 points with a try and try assist.

In five games in the second-row this season, he’s averaging 78.6 points per game, while he had scores of 28 and 35.

The risk lies in when he is asked to deputise at centre, but for now he’s safe in the back-row.

He’s at a good price due to those down games at centre, sitting at $553k with a breakeven of -18.

The dual CTW-2RF position is extremely valuable, especially when considering you could link him with Dylan Lucas in those positions.

David Fifita has been named in the 19, whether that’s him being dropped or under an injury cloud is uncertain.

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Bulldogs: 1. Connor Tracey 2. Jacob Kiraz 3. Bronson Xerri 4. Stephen Crichton 5. Marcelo Montoya 6. Bailey Hayward 7. Toby Sexton 8. Max King 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Daniel Suluka-Fifita 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Jacob Preston 13. Jaeman Salmon

Bench: 14. Kurt Mann 15. Harry Hayes 16. Kurtis Morrin 17. Blake Taaffe

Reserves: 19. Lipoi Hopoi 20. Blake Wilson 21. Jake Turpin 22. Luke Smith 23. Drew Hutchison

Analysis: Stephen Crichton retained the goal-kicking duties despite the return of Matt Burton in recent weeks.

This makes Burton an avoid in my eyes unless he regains the kicking duties, he’ll miss the week due to suspension anyway.

Despite the heavy loss to Brisbane, Viliame Kikau managed 68 points and remains a good bye coverage option with the Dogs playing the first two major bye rounds.

He’s $590k with a breakeven of 72.

Jacob Kiraz remains a great buy despite a down week of 52 against the Broncos.

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PANTHERS v BRONCOS

Sunday, 4:05pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Paul Alamoti 3. Izack Tago 4. Luke Garner 5. Thomas Jenkins 6. Blaize Talagi 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Luke Sommerton 10. Liam Henry 11. Scott Sorensen 12. Liam Martin 13. Isaah Yeo

Bench: 14. Trent Toelau 15. Isaiah Papali’i 16. Lindsay Smith 17. Mavrik Geyer

Reserves: 18. Daine Laurie 19. Luron Patea 20. Casey McLean 21. Billy Scott 22. Jack Cole

Analysis: On current form, the Panthers are hard to go near with away trips to Brisbane and Townsville incoming, followed with a bye.

The Panthers have all three of their byes between round 11 and 18, which is intriguing, but awful for Supercoach purposes.

They also miss the second two major bye rounds, while they’re likely to play the first without Nathan Cleary, Dylan Edwards and Isaah Yeo pending Origin selections.

Casey McLean has been dropped, with Luke Garner to start at centre.

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Broncos: 1. Selwyn Cobbo 2. Deine Mariner 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Gehamat Shibasaki 5. Jesse Arthars 6. Ben Hunt 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Patrick Carrigan 9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas 11. Xavier Willison 12. Jordan Riki 13. Kobe Hetherington

Bench: 14. Cory Paix 15. Corey Jensen 16. Brendan Piakura 17. Jaiyden Hunt

Reserves: 18. Tyson Smoothy 19. Martin Taupau 20. Josiah Karapani 21. Jock Madden 22. Benjamin Te Kura

Analysis: Brisbane miss the first two major bye rounds, along with round 20, which, like Penrith, weighs negatively on their Supercoach prospects.

With three tonnes this season, Payne Haas finally has the ceiling in Supercoach to not only make him a reliable skipper, but one that can go large on any given week.

He scored 123 against the best defence in the NRL in the Bulldogs, including a monstrous 71 in base!

Selwyn Cobbo knocked out 71 in his first game at fullback, he also acted as back-up goal-kicker to Adam Reynolds, nailing three conversions of his own.

He had an impressive 15 runs and remains a close watch in his new role.

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STORM v RAIDERS

Sunday, 6:25pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Storm: 1. Ryan Papenhuyzen 2. Sualauvi Faalogo 3. Grant Anderson 4. Nick Meaney 5. Xavier Coates 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Stefano Utoikamanu 9. Bronson Garlick 10. Josh King 11. Shawn Blore 12. Eliesa Katoa 13. Trent Loiero

Bench: 14. Tyran Wishart 15. Alec MacDonald 16. Tui Kamikamica 17. Joe Chan

Reserves: 18. Ativalu Lisati 19. Lazarus Vaalepu 20. Kane Bradley 21. Keagan Russell-Smith 22. Nelson Asofa-Solomona

Analysis: Melbourne miss the first two major bye rounds.

Following an injury that impacted 16 a few weeks back, Jahrome Hughes has bottomed out at $620k at a $184k discount on his starting price.

While the major bye coverage isn’t ideal, he does play the third along with all the mini bye rounds and looks a strong pick up, potentially even for Nathan Cleary down the track.

I don’t have a heap to add on the Storm, who have and will continue to be a major talking point across articles and podcasts each week.

Ryan Papenhuyzen remains a great buy, importantly, he retained the goal-kicking duties despite the return of Nick Meaney.

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Raiders: 1. Kaeo Weekes 2. Savelio Tamale 3. Matthew Timoko 4. Sebastian Kris 5. Xavier Savage 6. Ethan Strange 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Corey Horsburgh 9. Tom Starling 10. Joseph Tapine 11. Hudson Young 12. Matt Nicholson 13. Morgan Smithies

Bench: 14. Owen Pattie 15. Zac Hosking 16. Josh Papali’i 17. Ata Mariota

Reserves: 18. Simi Sasagi 19. Manaia Waitere 20. Pasami Saulo 21. Trey Mooney 22. Danny Levi

Analysis: With no bye until round 15, the Raiders provide some early coverage.

Joe Tapine found some attacking stats in his 88 points against the Dolphins.

Savelio Tamale holders have been rewarded with back-to-back scores of 89 and 76, sitting now at $496k with a breakeven of -6.

He looms as a hold until after that round 13 mini bye round.

Matty Nicholson and Corey Horsburgh are indefinite holds with strong minutes and output continuing against the Dolphins, as is Tommy Starling.