Michael Fisher
SC expert, NRL best 9th overall, BBL 14th
Former 9th placed finisher Michael Fisher looks at the players with rising and falling stocks in every position for Round 9.
NRLAs the bye period gets closer, there’s a few things worth considering from a strategy point-of-view for overall players. The minor bye rounds, with Origin player’s backing up and 17 players required, can present as much, or even more of a challenge, than the major bye rounds. Be careful of leaving yourself short for those rounds.
Now could also be the optimal time to save a trade or two, as we reach a full-strength team or close to it. Waiting for the added certainty of a player being named for a specific bye round you want them to cover could be worth paying a bit of extra cash.
Embed from Getty ImagesGutho vs Drinky is a big dilemma for many Supercoaches, including me.
Gutho’s role at the Dragons has diminished in recent weeks, as they’ve utilised him as a major decoy. A new, young halfback on deck probably sees him take on a more prominent role once more.
Drinky has an upcoming run of four QLD games, three of which are in Townsville. The Cowboys are clicking and he’s at the heart of it.
Drinky has a BE of 30 with a 132 in his rolling average, while Gutho (BE 129) looks set to lose more cash. Both have the round 12 bye.
It’s also worth considering plans for Teddy in round 12, if you don’t already own. The round 12 matchup against the Sharks isn’t ideal but he still looks like the best captain option that round.
An alternative, which I’m currently leaning towards, is trading Gutho for a gun CTW via the flex. This opens several options for trading Teddy in come round 12.
Meanwhile, Kayln Ponga has dropped to $538k with games against the Bunnies (Suncorp), Titans (in Newy) and Eels (in Newy) upcoming. He seems likely for Origin after that though. This may be the cheapest he can ever be purchased for, so I could understand a trade in, especially if it frees up cash for other moves.
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Targets:
Scott Drinkwater
Ryan Papenhuyzen (moved from job watch – has the kicking)
Kalyn Ponga
Form watch:
James Tedesco
Tom Trbojevic
Latrell Mitchell
Clint Gutherson Isaiah Iongi
Note: Fullbacks with dual are listed elsewhere, as they’re generally best selected in their other position
Embed from Getty ImagesPlenty of options here, particularly from the Knights, who have a golden upcoming run as mentioned with Ponga.
Marzhew and Lucas are the premium options due to their exceptional base + power. However, Sharpe is no slouch on this front, averaging 50 base + power to go with immense attacking upside. He’s also likely to move to fullback over the bye rounds to cover Ponga. Bringing in Sharpe would be based on a hope that the Knights can turn their attacking form around. If there’s ever a time for it, the next three round’s fixtures will be it.
Of the others, Kiraz looks the priority this week for the Titans matchup, although it’s worth keeping an eye on Sunday’s forecast.
A Herbie trade-in could be ideal next week, for the matchup against the Eels.
Robert Derby (BE -46) will make quick cash if he that’s what you’re looking for. Although there is a possibility of Braidon Burns returning at some stage and challenging for his spot.
Targets:
Greg Marzhew
Dylan Lucas
Herbie Farnworth
Jacob Kiraz
Reuben Garrick (target post round 9 bye)
Fletcher Sharpe (CTW/FLB) (moved from form watch)
Robert Derby (moved from job watch)
Removed: Billy Smith
Form watch:
KL Iro (added – watch on return from hamstring injury, possible round 12 trade in)
Valentine Holmes (moved from targets – too close to Origin)
Jaxon Purdue (moved from targets – more highly priced)
Mark Nawaqanitawase
Jamayne Isaako
Connor Tracey (CTW/FLB)
Adam Douehi (CTW/5-8)
Blaize Talagi (CTW/5-8)
Selwyn Cobbo
Jaylan De Groot
Job watch:
Beau Fermor (2RF/CTW) (Origin candidate – would only consider for H2H)
Kane Bradley (2RF/CTW)
Embed from Getty ImagesThe main point of interest here is the emergence of King-Togia at bottom dollar. With many coaches still holding Jayden Campbell, there’s an opportunity to free up a stack of cash for other positions. I can understand some coaches going early to make these moves immediately. I’d definitely prefer to wait and watch though.
Targets:
Cameron Munster
Form watch:
Dylan Brown (HFB-5/8)
Jarome Luai (HFB-5/8)
Cody Walker (HFB-5/8)
Luke Metcalf (HFB-5/8)
Blaize Talagi (5/8 CTW)
Adam Douehi (5/8-CTW)
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Job watch:
Matt Burton
Lachlan Galvin
Tyran Wishart
Jayden Sullivan (HFB-5/8)
Lyhkan King-Togia (added)
Halfbacks
Nothing of note here. Smith and Savala are better options in their other positions.
Targets:
Nathan Cleary
Nicho Hynes
Sandon Smith (HK/Half) (Added)
Hugo Savala (HFB/2RF) (moved from form watch, but prefer to select at 2RF)
Form watch:
Jahrome Hughes
Jarome Luai (HFB-5/8)
Dylan Brown (HFB/5-8)
Cody Walker (HFB/5-8)
Luke Metcalf (HFB/5-8)
Job watch:
Jayden Sullivan (HFB-5/8)
Embed from Getty ImagesDylan Lucas is a fine target at either 2RF or CTW. With all the options at CTW, it might make sense to pick him up at 2RF.
Another dual option, Erin Clark, has come on in leaps and bounds. Since Dylan Walker’s departure, Clark has averaged 75 points across 4 games. This includes one try assist and two line break assists. Take these out and he’s still averaging 68 points per game. With Haas, May, Tino and Horsburgh all likely affected by Origin, Clark could provide excellent cover at FRF and 2RF over this period.
Savala is a fine downgrade option, just manage any expectations you have about cash growth. He has low scores in him, as evidence by his first two games starting at halfback (scores of 20 and 21). He does have a -11 BE and a 65 in his rolling average, so should make some case by the time Sam Walker returns around round 15.
Targets:
Dylan Lucas (2RF/CTW)
Erin Clark (FRF/2RF) (moved from job watch)
Hugo Savala (HFB/2RF) (moved from form watch)
Removed: Connor Watson (HK/2RF) (too close to round 10 bye and origin)
Job watch
Haumole Olakau’atu (moved from form watch – Origin candidate)
Hudson Young (moved from form watch – Origin candidate)
Jacob Preston (moved from form watch – Origin candidate)
Beau Fermor (2RF/CTW) (Origin candidate – would only consider for H2H)
David Fifita
Mitch Barnett (FRF/2RF)
Max Plath (HK/2RF) (pending return from injury)
Corey Horsburgh (FRF/2RF)
Removed: Patrick Carrigan and Tino Fa’asuamaleaui (too close to Origin)
Form watch
Priced 650k+
Eliesa Katoa
Isaah Yeo (moved from targets – form down coinciding with Panthers form?)
Briton Nikora
Siua Wong
Toby Couchman (FRF/2RF) (moved from targets – too expensive now to offer value)
Matty Nicholson (moved from job watch – looks locked in for 80 minutes – could still offer value at $550k and averaging 67 this season)
J’maine Hopgood
Keaon Koloamatangi
Removed: Dylan Egan
Looping options:
Myles Martin (FRF/2RF)
Ethan Roberts (FRF/2RF)
Tukimihia Simpkins (FRF/2RF)
Embed from Getty ImagesHaving bottomed out at $662k, Addin Fonua Blake is another option to cover Origin bound forwards. Keep an eye on your round 13 minor bye round numbers before bringing him in, as he’ll miss that one.
Targets:
Payne Haas
Terrell May
Joseph Tapine
Addin Fonua-Blake (moved from job watch)
Erin Clark (FRF/2RF) (moved from job watch)
Form watch:
Daniel Saifiti
Lindsay Smith
Toby Couchman (FRF/2RF) (moved from targets – too expensive now to offer value)
Job Watch:
Mitch Barnett (FRF/2RF)
Corey Horsburgh (FRF/2RF)
Xavier Willison (added – can he keep 80 minute role on edge?)
Removed: Patrick Carrigan and Tino Fa’asuamaleaui (too close to Origin)
Looping options
Myles Martin – Raiders (FRF/2RF)
Ethan Roberts – Roosters (FRF/2RF)
Tukimihia Simpkins (FRF/2RF)
Embed from Getty ImagesA solid bounce back from Wayde Egan last round, with 86 points including a try. As it stands, he looks the best hooker option over the bye period, it’s just a question as to whether you want to spend trades there.
Targets:
Wayde Egan (moved from job watch)
Sandon Smith (HK/HFB) (Added)
Ryley Smith
Removed: Connor Watson (HK/2RF) (too close to round 10 bye and origin)
Job watch:
Max Plath (HK/2RF) (pending return from injury)
Removed: Peter Mamouzelos
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