NFL Supercoach | Buy, Hold, Sell, Week 10

We’re now more than halfway through the season and soon to be upon the rightly named byepocalypse, so this week is extra crucial to get your team right for not only this week but next as well.

I scored 534 this week and was relatively happy. A few horror calls on my end due to a few beers didn’t help, as I forgot to move the VC from Tuten to K9 after Tuten’s ankle injury on the short turnaround. I also forgot to bench him for Bijan, who I benched in favour of Coleman, which wasn’t the worst decision, to be fair. If I didn’t stuff that up, I would’ve scored in the 600s and been stoked for the first time in a while.

I’m happy with my decision not to trade in the end, as I believe it will set me up for more success in the back half of the season. Plenty is happening this week, with the trade deadline passing, injuries running riot with a big, big name going down, and, of course, the byepocalypse next week. With many people still running a WR in their flex, is it time to go to a QB? Strap in and let’s look at this week.

Embed from Getty Images

Buy

Brock Purdy (QB San Fran 49ers, $24.65m, 39 BE, 5% ownership)

Purdy is about to get back Evans and Deebo and also benefit from the addition of veteran WR Keenan Allen, which should be music to the ears of Purdy owners. The 49ers face the Cowboys this week, which should result in a huge amount of points for the team and SuperCoach-relevant players in general.

I am slightly concerned about the matchups against the Vikings and the Seahawks. However, if there is any team that can overcome them, it’s the Shanahan-led 49ers. After that, Purdy has a few tough games to finish the season, but they should be shootouts regardless. As long as this offence can stay healthy, Purdy should thrive for the rest of this season.

Trevor Lawrence (QB Jacksonville Jaguars, $25m, 56 BE, 3% ownership)

The man with the best schedule left for the year is still not being looked at. He’s the 18th most-owned QB, which is crazy to me given how much not only I but others have spoken about the easy schedule they have remaining. It does come with risks, that’s for sure, but he should be in a position to score points, and plenty of them, more often than not.

Over the last 3 and 5 weeks, Lawrence is the 8th-best QB by average. Take away Sanders, who has played 1 game, and then take out Stroud and Love’s monster games this past week, and you find yourself with an almost top-5 QB over that stretch.

The fact that Lawrence hasn’t had to do much is both good and bad, as it shows they aren’t afraid to run the ball and the game script lets him ease off a bit, but there’s also huge upside in that he’ll be airing it out soon and racking up some monster scores.

Embed from Getty Images

CJ Stroud (QB Houston Texans, $25.03m, 17 BE, 1% ownership)

Bit of a left-field one, but stay with me. Stroud, for the first time since his rookie season, has a healthy WR room and needs to help carry his defence in games. He’s currently the 7th-ranked QB on average this year and, over the last 3 and 5 weeks, is the 3rd- and 4th-best QB during those periods.

Outside of one game in the 20s, Stroud has scored at least 32 points a game this season, with the majority of those games being at the start of the season.

Outside of his 32 points 2 weeks ago, his lowest score over the last 5 weeks is 41, which is mightily impressive. At his price point, I don’t think you can go wrong, and given he has had his bye, he’ll be a serviceable QB for potentially the rest of the season.

Jordan Love (QB Green Bay Packers, $25.59m, 8 BE, 2% ownership)

Almost didn’t include him this week, and that’s because of the game against the Vikings this week and the bye next week, but this is a guy you’ll be wanting to look at for the rest of the season. Love is the 5th-best QB on the year and, over the last 3 and 5 weeks, the 2nd- and 3rd-best QB by average.

Coming out of the bye, he will have another potentially tough day in the office against the Rams, but after that, his run home for the season is against defences giving up plenty of points. Golden and Watson are a huge reason why he’s doing so well, and as long as they stay healthy and cause nightmares for opposing defences, Love should continue to flourish, especially considering they have no run game and rely so, so heavily on their air attack.

Become a member of the SC Playbook community by subscribing for less than $2 per week! Gain access to additional premium articles on site every week, our Discord community, prize money and plenty more. Check it out here.

Christian McCaffrey (RB San Fran 49ers, $24.45m, 39 BE, 21% ownership)

CMC is going to EAT this week against the Cowboys. In a year that’s been really up and down for RBs, CMC is the best of those not named Gibbs and Walker. The 2 games against the Vikings and Seahawks will be hard, but I can see a world where he still churns out a minimum of 30 against them and averages upwards of 40 PPG for the rest of the season.

I am concerned about the load management with him. In half of his games this year, he’s had 14–16 carries, where he is still scoring well, but it’s been because of TDs. If the TDs aren’t there, he’s scoring significantly less. However, he has a knack for finding the end zone, so he should be a fairly safe bet going forward.

James Cook (RB Bills, $23.14m, 45 BE, 8% ownership)

Cook is currently the 5th-ranked RB in all average score categories in SuperCoach this season and, in my opinion, is going to go on a bit of a run in the back half of this season. If we don’t count the first week, where he scored 16, Cook has been Mr Consistent in scoring at least 30 PPG and faces only the Chiefs, Pats, and Broncos, who may give him some grief.

He has only 2 games this season with fewer than 20 carries and has scored a TD every week since Week 2. Usually, Allen steals a few of his goal-line TDs. However, Cook has still been finding the end zone and rushing for monster yardage each week.

He isn’t a pass-catching threat, but that doesn’t matter when you’re running for at least 80 yards and a TD each week. Cook will face the Jets and the Dolphins twice each in the last 9 games and should most definitely flourish in these games.

Embed from Getty Images

WR Chase and Higgins

Before I start with a Puka replacement, this is being written on the assumption that people already own a combination of Chase, Lamb, JSN, Watson, Golden, Jefferson, Nabers, and ASB. If you don’t already own some of these guys, then I’d be looking to swap to all of them except for ASB.

JSN and the Packers have a bye, so it may not be the best option, but if you don’t own any of the others, be wary of Jefferson. He should be good for the rest of the year, but watch his space. Otherwise, get on the rest or the fellas below.

Last week, I spoke about Higgins and Chase as buy targets. With the Puka injury and the impending byes of JSN, Watson and Golden, Chase and then Higgins become huge buy targets as replacements. Chase is by far the best option and is looking better and better each week, and Higgins will be thereabouts alongside him for the rest of the season.

It doesn’t look like the Bengals offence can be stopped, which is scary for opposing teams playing them in the 2nd half of the year.

Tank Dell (WR Houston Texans, $6.73m, -13 BE, 0.5% ownership)

Collins is not it at the moment, and Dell has stepped back into the Texans’ offence and almost looked like their number 1 receiver on a limited snap count. Dell saw 9 targets and had 4 catches for over 100 yards and a TD. Dell was targeted on 41% of his passing routes and accounted for 39% of the team’s first-read targets. What does that mean? Stroud and the Texans love him and want to get him the ball.

Dell is a genuine bargain at this price, and if you’re like me and own a mid-range receiver who isn’t doing the damn thing, Dell becomes a fantastic downgrade for high upside and cash generation purposes.

Embed from Getty Images

Hold

Tanner McKee (QB Philly Eagles, $8.06m, BE 2, 15% ownership)

It’s a bye week, and he hasn’t lost the job yet. Many are jumping to Mendoza, but I feel you should at least wait a week or 2 to see how Mendoza goes and also potentially capitalise on a little price rise if McKee plays after the bye. Save those trades.

Bhayshul Tuten (RB Jacksonville Jaguars, BE 15, 35% ownership)

Probably the craziest trade-out I’ve seen in a while. Tuten had a down week due to the uncertainty around his ankle. The Jags were on the short turnaround and had a really easy matchup against the Ravens, so he wasn’t really needed.

Tuten is such a big part of this team and has had extra time to heal. When they undoubtedly run up points against teams in the next few weeks, he will see plenty of carries to wind that clock down. Keep him in your team while he’s still making cash!!

Embed from Getty Images

Carnell Tate (WR Tennessee Titans)

I’m not bothering with adding anything except to say: read every article from the last few weeks, dare I say all season long.

Zay Flowers (WR Baltimore Ravens, $16.75m, 27 BE, 13% ownership)

Since the addition of Brissett, I’d be inclined to keep Flowers for a week or 2 to see what happens. Brissett is a serviceable QB and can air the ball out. He was responsible for the meteoric rise of Michael Wilson last season. What’s to say he won’t treat Flowers as his new Wilson?

I’d be wary, but there’s some hope for Flowers owners now.

Sell

Braelon Allen (RB NY Jets, $14.65m, 19 BE, 9% ownership)

Breece Hall is back, and Allen is losing his role. Hall is on load management and was out there for 43% of the time as opposed to Allen’s 59%. However, Hall touched the ball 18 times out of a possible 19 as opposed to Allen’s 10. He’s been a great cash cow, but it’s time to cash in.

Embed from Getty Images

D’Andre Swift (RB Chicago Bears, $19.28m, 34 BE, 6% ownership)

Swift has been an awesome pickup for those who had him, but I fear he will go back to inconsistency with Monangai back training and is expected to be playing after the bye. Swift loses plenty of carries to him, and the Bears tend to run with the hot hand with these 2. There are plenty of other options around that price you can go to, or you can trade to a cheapie to bank some cash to make some big moves post-Week 11 byes.

Nico Collins (WR Houston Texans, $13.73m, 36 BE, 9% ownership)

He’s been so disappointing and is now being outproduced by Dell in just his 2nd game back from injury. With a high BE and some serious lack of consistency at the position this season, Collins must go to either a cheapie or someone who is scoring consistent points for your team for the rest of the season.

Embed from Getty Images

Captains and Trades

After not trading last week, I’m on the fence about not doing it again. I do, however, have a big enough fire that I may feel inclined to put it out, and that is Collins. If I’m to trade this week, I’ll be going:

TRADE OUT COLLINS

TRADE IN DELL

Saving myself $7m and not losing any more cash on Collins, I bank myself a legit 5th/6th receiver I can risk starting, and it helps me bank up more cash to make 2–4 big moves over the next 2 weeks. Doing this will leave me with 7 trades for the remainder of the season. I’m sticking to my plan of keeping 3–4 trades for injury insurance, and this doesn’t affect that.

Captain-wise, I’ll be VC MAYE, C ALLEN, and either staying up or setting my alarm for a nice early wake-up to finish watching the Pats or loop for Allen.

Best of luck, and catch you on the next one.